Who's a lock to get 3,000 hits?

I'm not sure Griffey plays another season. His numbers don't look like the kind of numbers anybody wants to see out of their CF.

No question that ARod and Jeter are a lock.

I think Johnny Damon's going to get there.

As much as Larry Jones (you can call him Chipper if you like) keeps playing through nagging injuries like he does, it wouldn't surprise me in the least if he stuck around long enough to hit 3,000.

Doesn't it seem like Edgar Renteria's been around forever? He's only 33. I suppose he might make it.

 

Unfortunately, that is the BIG question these days, isn't it? :tear:

Ed

 

I like this reasoning. :thumbs:

 

I like the answers so far with the exception of Chipper. I see him flaming out one way or another. He shoots off at the mouth an awful lot and I think he'll eventually just take his marbles home to sulk. He's hinted at such.

Let me pose the question a different way: who on this list needs 3,000 to get to Cooperstown (since the Paris Hilton media has deemed that to be the minimum for hits now a days)?

 

Jeter and A-Rod for sure.

Manny most likely.

No way the first 4 listed will get there.

I seriously doubt Damon gets there - he will start dropping off soon and his defense will soon become a liability (he'll get slower and his arm is awful) and he's not good enough to DH. He might get 2800 or 2900. If he did get to 3,000, he'd probably be the worst player to be in that elite club.

Vlad might have a chance, but he's an old 34.

Same with Edgar - guy plays like he's 39, not 33. He's in serious decline. He'll be lucky to get 2500.

I think Ichiro has an excellent shot. He seems like the kind of athlete that will still be performing well at age 40. If he played his whole career in the U.S., we'd be talking 4,000 for him.

 

Johnny Damon for sure. But even if he were to get 3,000, I don't think he's a Hall of Famer.