Featured BREAKING: Trump Shocks In Newest Poll

The OP is the same poll, I see.

https://usdailywire.com/2016/08/18/trump-leads-clinton-by-6/

likely voters, an out-of-MoE Trump lead but . . . they are undersampling Democrats now AND still oversampling women. I don't think they really know who is ahead and where.

 

The race appears to be tightening. Hmm.

 

They are far from infallible, but they are useful. Perhaps a Trump surge is at hand. We will see. I do think this may indicate somewhat that there isn't a systematic bias against Trump.

I think his speech yesterday admitting that he's said some things wrong could help him, too. It impressed me, personally. Arrogance in a President isn't helpful (cf. Obama's early years, especially), so I love to see displays of humility. I can't say if others will feel that way, but one can be a good leader and humble at the same time. The best pastors are, and I think the best Presidents may be, too.

 

Not a political scientist but I took statistics in school so I have said from the beginning the polls are relatively worthless as there are many ways to present them.

Only just before (September-October) the election have they any true value and even then it's not reliable.
Depends who hires the best propagandists to try to encourage/discourage we the sheeple.

November will "prove the pudding" as to the best ones at "rigging" the system.

Ya, I'm a pessimist/realist - no matter who wins.

HankD

 

Trump reads an apology off a teleprompter written by his brand new press agent claiming he's sometimes "too honest" and you buy it?

Oh my...

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It's better than the alternative of doubling down on recklessness.

 

Oh of course. If you are pegging the measure of reliability to the outcome in the election, then polls now are useless. They are, however, good for tracking trends. If we take them in the aggregate, they can give us some good information as of the moment.

Naturally, much can (and will) change between now and November.

 

Here's how Trumpies think their guy is ahead...

He is tied with Hillary (within statistical margin of error) in every major credible national poll out in the past few days. Pick your poll: Zogby, Rasmussen, LA Times/USC, Bloomberg, they all say he’s down 1 or 2 points with likely voters- which is tied. In the latest LA times/USC poll he’s down less than one point.

And we all know 5% to 10% of voters won't admit they support Trump. Why would they after the three weeks of disaster I just described?

So that means he's actually AHEAD by 3 to 5 points.

http://townhall.com/columnists/wayneallynroot/2016/08/20/hillarys-done-and-she-knows-it-n2207410

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I would not characterize Zogby and the USC/LA Times poll as being credible. I know Rasmussen has a lousy track record; don't know much about Bloomberg poll's reputation, but their latest shows Hillary up by 6% amongst likely voters.

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He's actually up by 6 in another poll.

Trump 44%
Clinton 38%
POP poll: https://usdailywire.com

 

* Online poll.
* 43% of the poll respondents were over 50 years old.
* 72% of respondents were white.

These are Trump's demographics. I'm surprised he didn't win by more.

Poll = Fail.

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Clinton having 272 electoral votes, which is enough to win, is close?!

All-righty then!

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A new USDW telephone and online survey....

And aren't white's the majority in his country??? And aren't the elderly the most likely voters?? Just say'n.

 

The polls have been exceedingly unreliable this year - to much statistical chicanery on both sides!.

HankD

 

Rationalization in full play.

While the percent of voters over the age of 50 is in line with general demographics the race and ethnicity is not.

Non-Hispanic Whites in US = 63%; Poll sampled 72%
Hispanic/Latino in US = 16%; Poll sampled 9.6%

Online voting gives total anonymity to the voter and invites multiple votes by erasing cookies and changing IP addresses (voting from home, erase cookies; voting from work, erase cookies; voting from Starbucks, etc.)

It's just an unreliable way of doing polls.

 

I would agree, except the "both sides" part. I think it's fair to say 99% of media is against Trump.