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NCAA "Undefeateds"

Discussion in 'Sports Forum' started by FriendofSpurgeon, Oct 17, 2004.

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  1. FriendofSpurgeon

    FriendofSpurgeon Well-Known Member
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    Three undefeated teams bit the dust this weekend - Louisville, Purdue and Virginia. Now, the number of undefeated teams falls to just four -- USC, OK, Miami and Auburn -- with half the season still to go. (Sorry Utah and Boise State just don't count.)

    Personal note - I know that all of you "Hurricane Haters" were giddy for the first 59 minutes on Thursday night, but the Canes remain in the championship hunt with a terrific 2nd half comeback. This was one of the best games I've ever attended.

    Out of the above four teams, who will stay undefeated during the year??
     
    #1 FriendofSpurgeon, Oct 17, 2004
  2. mark

    mark <img src =/mark.gif>

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    Question: is Miami a Catholic (Jesuit) school?

    I think OU will dance through the rest of the Big 12, undefeated depends on the bowl.
     
    #2 mark, Oct 18, 2004
  3. RodH

    RodH <img src ="http://humphrey.homestead.com/files/Rod

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    I think USC has the easiest remaining schedule of the remaining teams. Notre Dame and UCLA are their toughest teams remaining, and I would think only Notre Dame has the ability to possibly beat them.

    Auburn's only big regular season game remaining is Georgia (at home) and a potential rematch in the SEC Championship game.

    Miami's toughest remaining games are at Virginia (at least it looked tough before their big loss to Florida State) and at home against Virginia Tech. I think NC State and Clemson will make too many mistakes to stay close to Miami. Virginia Tech could beat the Hurricane, but they will have to avoid turnovers and cause a few Miami turnovers (or maybe a blocked punt, etc.)

    Oklahoma looks like they have a great chance, also. But they have to play at #22 Oklahoma State (always a tough win for OU) and at #17 Texas A&M who is playing well and will be motivated by the embarassment of last year's massacre. They also potentially have a tough game in the Big 12 Championship, probably against Missouri. (The Sooners should win, but everyone thought they would beat K-State a year ago, also.)

    Wisconsin is still undefeated also after knocking off Purdue. But I agree that 3 of the 4 teams you listed would probably have to lose for them to get to the championship game. Even though Wisconsin doesn't play Michigan, I still think they will have a loss before the end of the year. (They play Northwestern, Minnesota, Michigan State, and Iowa.)

    So I guess USC and Auburn have the best chance to stay undefeated in my opinion, followed by Miami and then Oklahoma. Wisconsin will probably be in the Rose Bowl with at least one loss. I predict 2 of them will survive unbeaten, but I don't know which 2. (Hopefully at least 3 will survive and force the NCAA to consider a 2 or 3 round playoff format.)

    Boise State almost got beat by Tulsa this past weekend and Utah's toughest game remaining is probably BYU. I think all of the teams above (and several not listed) would have to have at least 2 losses before Boise State or Utah get considered for the BCS Championship Game.
     
    #3 RodH, Oct 18, 2004
  4. FriendofSpurgeon

    FriendofSpurgeon Well-Known Member
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    Apologies to my Badger friends that I forgot to include Wisconsin in the list. FIVE undefeateds with 1/2 the season to go. I think we'll have three left at the end of the year - what will happen then, nobody knows.
     
    #4 FriendofSpurgeon, Oct 18, 2004
  5. RodH

    RodH <img src ="http://humphrey.homestead.com/files/Rod

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    What will happen then? The same thing that happens every year. The fans will demand a playoff, but the NCAA will just make a few more "tweaks" to the BCS formula and call it good. :rolleyes:
     
    #5 RodH, Oct 18, 2004
  6. PastorGreg

    PastorGreg Member
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    Go Badgers!
     
    #6 PastorGreg, Oct 18, 2004
  7. FriendofSpurgeon

    FriendofSpurgeon Well-Known Member
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    Schedules ahead for the unbeatens. Some paths are much easier than others. Hopefully, the polls and computers will take this into consideration.

    USC - They have easiest route ahead with that PAC 10 schedule. The only potential tough game is #24 Notre Dame, and they are playing them at home. Who knows if ND will even be ranked by then.

    Wisconsin - Next easiest. Only four games left and two of those are at home. The only ranked opponent ahead is #25 Iowa. Given their easy schedule (their only quality opponent so far was Purdue, they don't play Michigan, and their non-conference games were against powerhouses such as UCF, Arizona, and UNLV - combined record of 3-16), don't look for them to break into the top tier unless everyone else loses.

    Oklahoma - Tougher with five games to go and two against ranked opponents - #17 A&M and #22 OSU. But the conference championship game should be a joke this year given the other side of the conference.

    Auburn - Tougher still, including a possible match-up against Tenn in the SEC finals. And, that's if they get past #10 UGA - but they get to play them at home. Their tough SEC schedule might move them up if they stay undefeated.

    Miami - The toughest schedule to go with six games remaining and three of them on the road. Two of the opponents are ranked - #14 UVA at UVA and #23 Va Tech (which always gives Miami fits).
     
    #7 FriendofSpurgeon, Oct 19, 2004
  8. WallyGator

    WallyGator New Member

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    USC all the way and no national champion controversy in years!
     
    #8 WallyGator, Oct 19, 2004
  9. Alcott

    Alcott Well-Known Member
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    I am hoping the season will end with 5 or 6 one-loss teams, all clamoring for a spot in the big game. 2nd best may be for one undefeated against 4 or more who claim the spot. Personally, I think the second case is the most likely. It's simply hard to bring your best play into every game, and each currently undefeated team has teams on their schedule that can beat them if they don't.

    For Oklahoma, I will forecast that Texas A&M or Oklahoma State, or maybe both, will upset them. OU may never have played before a crowd as hostile toward them as they will against A&M, possibly excepting the U.Miami crowds at the Orange Bowl in the 80's. That makes a difference, no matter how much players and coaches say they're ready and it's nothing.

    I think the most likely to go undefeated are: 1) USC, 2)Wisconsin or Auburn, 3) Oklahoma or Miami.
     
    #9 Alcott, Oct 19, 2004
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