Here it is! Make your predictions for President, Senate, House, local elections, turnout--whatever you want! Fun! Danger! Insight! Humor!
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The Baptist Board 2016 Election Prediction Thread
- Thread starter InTheLight
- Start date
Here it is! Make your predictions for President, Senate, House, local elections, turnout--whatever you want! Fun! Danger! Insight! Humor!
Don't be shy. I'll start.
It looks like we won't be seeing Donald Trump's tax returns.
See? Easy-peasy.
It looks like we won't be seeing Donald Trump's tax returns.
See? Easy-peasy.
http://www.breitbart.com/live/2016-...on-model-still-predicts-donald-trump-victory/
Hyper-Accurate Election Model Still Predicts a Donald Trump Victory
Professor Helmut Norpoth is insisting his prediction of a Donald Trump electoral victory will be vindicated by the polls Tuesday night.
From the New York Post:
Moody’s Analytics, which has picked the next president every year since 1980, says Clinton will make history as the first female chief executive, trouncing Trump with 332 electoral votes.
That runs in sharp contrast to a model created by Helmut Norpoth, a political science professor at Stony Brook University, that’s predicting Trump will be running the country.
Norpoth is sticking by the results of his model — which has correctly predicted the winner of every presidential election since 1912, with the exception of 2000
Hyper-Accurate Election Model Still Predicts a Donald Trump Victory
Professor Helmut Norpoth is insisting his prediction of a Donald Trump electoral victory will be vindicated by the polls Tuesday night.
From the New York Post:
Moody’s Analytics, which has picked the next president every year since 1980, says Clinton will make history as the first female chief executive, trouncing Trump with 332 electoral votes.
That runs in sharp contrast to a model created by Helmut Norpoth, a political science professor at Stony Brook University, that’s predicting Trump will be running the country.
Norpoth is sticking by the results of his model — which has correctly predicted the winner of every presidential election since 1912, with the exception of 2000
I predict that God will still be on the throne, and the Gospel will still be the way in which to change a lost and dying world.
Zaac
Well-Known Member
AMEN!
And that is what He is going to show a very disrespectful, disobedient church.
Yes, me too. And it's been getting less and less crowded in here.
Hilary will win by a plurality in the popular vote, all the 3rd party votes combined will be between 5-8% which just might help break the 2 party stranglehold in future elections.
Romney in a landslide! 
Burr seems to be safe in the Senate from NC.
Holding looks safe in the NC-2 district.
McCrory is in a much tighter race, and I really hope be pulls through.
The main event is gonna be close. Too close to call, which is the best shot the R's have had in a while.
Burr seems to be safe in the Senate from NC.
Holding looks safe in the NC-2 district.
McCrory is in a much tighter race, and I really hope be pulls through.
The main event is gonna be close. Too close to call, which is the best shot the R's have had in a while.
Electoral College
Clinton 322, Trump 216
Key Battleground States
Clinton Wins
Florida
Michigan
Wisconsin
North Carolina*
Nevada
Pennsylvania
New Hampshire
Trump Wins
Ohio (first time Republican carries Ohio but loses election in decades)
Arizona
Utah (pulls off a squeaker against 3rd party Evan McMullin)
Maine (gets one congressional district)
*North Carolina could go to Trump, so Electoral College could be 303-235
The key will be the Hispanic vote especially in Nevada, Colorado, Florida. There are so many Hispanics that are voting against Trump.
Senate: Democrats regain majority 51-49
Democrats pick up these states (in order of likelihood):
Illinois (Kirk loses)
Pennsylvania (Toomer loses)
Nevada (Heck loses)
Indiana (Young loses)
Wisconsin (Johnson loses)
If I'm wrong about one of the above states, substitute one of these. One way or another, the Dems will control the Senate.
New Hampshire (Ayotte loses)
Missouri (Blunt loses)
House: Democrats pick up 12 seats, making it 234 R to 198 D
Meanwhile in an alternate universe Marco Rubio would have beaten Hillary Clinton 300-238.
Clinton 322, Trump 216
Key Battleground States
Clinton Wins
Florida
Michigan
Wisconsin
North Carolina*
Nevada
Pennsylvania
New Hampshire
Trump Wins
Ohio (first time Republican carries Ohio but loses election in decades)
Arizona
Utah (pulls off a squeaker against 3rd party Evan McMullin)
Maine (gets one congressional district)
*North Carolina could go to Trump, so Electoral College could be 303-235
The key will be the Hispanic vote especially in Nevada, Colorado, Florida. There are so many Hispanics that are voting against Trump.
Senate: Democrats regain majority 51-49
Democrats pick up these states (in order of likelihood):
Illinois (Kirk loses)
Pennsylvania (Toomer loses)
Nevada (Heck loses)
Indiana (Young loses)
Wisconsin (Johnson loses)
If I'm wrong about one of the above states, substitute one of these. One way or another, the Dems will control the Senate.
New Hampshire (Ayotte loses)
Missouri (Blunt loses)
House: Democrats pick up 12 seats, making it 234 R to 198 D
Meanwhile in an alternate universe Marco Rubio would have beaten Hillary Clinton 300-238.
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Vinnie Amendola will be re-elected for his 22d consecutive term as the Animal Control Officer in our township. Vinnie was almost unseated three elections ago by a then-unknown named Unapposed. Y'all can now resume your spat about the rest of the clowns.
Padre, I voted for you for animal Control officer - - yea, I know I dont live in your county - but dont tell anyone.
A liberal from New York will be elected President.
Sent from my Motorola Droid Turbo
Sent from my Motorola Droid Turbo
I predict should Hillary win that Globalism will progress in our country to the point of destruction and it will be too late for a path back short of civil war. Further predict that Liberals, Democrats and 3rd Party voters will be screaming the loudest that something should have been done to stop it.
So, recycling the prediction from 2008 and 2012? Understood.
difficult post to make (for me) but want to get it in before it's too late:
Trump wins Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, New Hampshire, Michigan, that one district in Maine, and probably Pennsylvania and Colorado, maybe even Wisconsin. Doesn't matter, he's over the top already.
Senate - want Kelly in NH to lose but coattails will bring Burr and her over the top, and the Bayh dynasty will take another hit in Indiana. My state won't have the dumbest Senator of all any more, but she will win her re-election and Kamala Harris will win down in California.
Heck and Kirk will both lose in their states, as will Trump. House will be plus or minus shift either way, won't change it much at all.
Trump wins Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, New Hampshire, Michigan, that one district in Maine, and probably Pennsylvania and Colorado, maybe even Wisconsin. Doesn't matter, he's over the top already.
Senate - want Kelly in NH to lose but coattails will bring Burr and her over the top, and the Bayh dynasty will take another hit in Indiana. My state won't have the dumbest Senator of all any more, but she will win her re-election and Kamala Harris will win down in California.
Heck and Kirk will both lose in their states, as will Trump. House will be plus or minus shift either way, won't change it much at all.