Trump 41%, Clinton 39%

[Revmitchell]

Last week, Rasmussen Reports gave voters the option of staying home on Election Day if Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the big party nominees, and six percent (6%) said that’s what they intend to do for now. Clinton and Trump were tied with 38% support each; 16% said they would vote for some other candidate, and two percent (2%) were undecided.

But Trump edges slightly ahead if the stay-at-home option is removed. Trump also now does twice as well among Democrats as Clinton does among Republicans.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Trump with 41% support to Clinton’s 39%. Fifteen percent (15%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This is the first time Trump has led the matchup since last October. Clinton held a 41% to 36% advantage in early March.

Trump now has the support of 73% of Republicans, while 77% of Democrats back Clinton. But Trump picks up 15% of Democrats, while just eight percent (8%) of GOP voters prefer Clinton, given this matchup. Republicans are twice as likely to prefer another candidate.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/trump_41_clinton_39

 

[InTheLight]

Too bad that pesky Electoral College system is in place that makes nationwide popularity polls largely irrelevant. That will be the next thing that Trump will say is rigged.

 

[InTheLight]

If Clinton wins Florida and carries the 19 states (plus D.C.) that have voted for the Democratic presidential nominee in each of the last six elections, she will be the 45th president. It's that simple.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...lem-that-has-nothing-to-do-with-donald-trump/

 

[Revmitchell]

Actually what is simple is that Hillary is not an automatic win no matter what some say. Further, Democrat voter turnout has been rather low this cycle. We can say all the "if's in the world but that does not tell us what will happen. Trump is clearly running a competitive race and his being the nominee is in no way an indication that Hillary wins.

 

[SovereignGrace]

I'm voting for Trump, Cruz, Kasich, Castro, Putin, anyone but HilLIARly Clinton.

 

[Rob_BW]

I'm voting for Trump, Cruz, Kasich, Castro, Putin, anyone but HilLIARly Clinton.

Yup.

 

[InTheLight]

I'm voting for Trump, Cruz, Kasich, Castro, Putin, anyone but HilLIARly Clinton.

If Trump is the nominee I will sit out voting for President, or vote Constitution Party, Libertarian, or other third party. I might write someone in.

I might only vote for local candidates and leave the US national elections alone (US House and US Senate). Send a message to the GOP that they've got to quit selecting substandard candidates.

#NeverTrump

 

[Rob_BW]

If Trump is the nominee I will sit out voting for President, or vote Constitution Party, Libertarian, or other third party. I might write someone in.

I might only vote for local candidates and leave the US national elections alone (US House and US Senate). Send a message to the GOP that they've got to quit selecting substandard candidates.

#NeverTrump

Unlike your situation, I am in a somewhat purple state, so I don't feel that I have the luxury of a protest vote/sitting one out.

 

[777]

That's exactly the problem - the option to stay home won't be able to be omitted when it comes time to vote.

This year, it will depend on turnout more than ever. A popular vote total is meaningless. especially this far out, but I can't imagine a scenario where Hillary wins Florida but loses Ohio. Ohio will be the tougher of the two for Trump.

But what Hillary should is take that map of the 19 blue states and DC and try to pick off Ohio, Arkansas, Virginia and any state else other than Utah. Trump should shore up Florida and go in the Midwest and see if he can get the blue-collar votes in states like Michigan.

 

[SovereignGrace]

If Trump is the nominee I will sit out voting for President, or vote Constitution Party, Libertarian, or other third party. I might write someone in.

I might only vote for local candidates and leave the US national elections alone (US House and US Senate). Send a message to the GOP that they've got to quit selecting substandard candidates.

#NeverTrump

You have that right. HilLIARly scares me worse than Obummer ever has.

If Trump wins the GOP nod...and after throttling Cruz in a conservative state like Indiana and a 15-16% lead in California, it looks like he is a shoo-in...the GOP can blame no one but themselves. The goons they pushed like McCain, Bush...dad and son...Dole..well, they took a pistol...BANG...and blew both feet off.

 

[InTheLight]

Indianapolis (CNN) As Donald Trump captures the mantle of presumptive Republican nominee, a new poll finds he begins his general election campaign well behind Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton.

The new CNN/ORC Poll, completed ahead of Trump's victory last night, found Clinton leads 54% to 41%, a 13-point edge over the New York businessman, her largest lead since last July.

 

[HankD]

The question becomes : whom do you fear the most?

I fear Billary more than the Donald.

Why Billary?:
We can't believe her.
Second Amendment will go away.
Supreme Court will be skewed to the left.
PC offenses will be transformed into legislated hate crimes (some of them maybe a felony).
Bill will be back in the White House.
WWIII.

The Donald?
WWIII
Flip-flop of promises.
Conservative mask (what there is of it) comes off.

Stay home or write in - a virtual vote for Billary.

HankD

 

[Rolfe]

The question becomes : whom do you fear the most?

One can reasonably guess what a Clinton Presidency will likely be like. Trump is such an uncertainty that it is a gamble to trust him with the White House, but this we know: that he is a narcissist who has said he plans to rule by Executive Order.

My fear is for my Country. I am generally an optimist, but I think that she is in for dark days.

 

[HankD]

One can reasonably guess what a Clinton Presidency will likely be like. Trump is such an uncertainty that it is a gamble to trust him with the White House, but this we know: that he is a narcissist who has said he plans to rule by Executive Order.

My fear is for my Country. I am generally an optimist, but I think that she is in for dark days.

Right, we don't know if the FBI is going to be a part of "protect the elite" or is going to bring enough evidence to indict and send her to trial for her crimes (if any - presumption of innocence rules).

HankD

 

[TCassidy]

Trump would have been my LAST choice among the GOP candidates, but now that he is the presumptive candidate there are only two options.

#1. Get behind him or

#2. elect Hilary.

Personally I am not sure which would be worse. The devil we know or the devil we don't?

 

[HankD]

Trump would have been my LAST choice among the GOP candidates, but now that he is the presumptive candidate there are only two options.

#1. Get behind him or

#2. elect Hilary.

Personally I am not sure which would be worse. The devil we know or the devil we don't?
View attachment 558

Exactly why I am leery of him.

HankD