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Trump approval climbs to highest level of 2019

HankD

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Trump approval climbs to highest level of 2019 amid impeachment inquiry

When will they learn?
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Trump approval climbs to highest level of 2019 amid impeachment inquiry
 

HankD

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About a dozen times the globalist press has proclaimed: "Trump is going down for sure this time".
Usually accompanied with a current blurb of the current peccadillo along with a litany of sins and other high crimes and misdemeanors and insults - e.g. May 2018

Trump is ‘going down’ — and here are all the reasons why

Yet each time the smoke clears he gains another percentage point in popularity.
OK so maybe it will happen - but they are running out of time and once he gets congress back in 2020 they are toast.

Given the brazen alleged public scandal of the Bidens, Nancy will be stepping down next year IMO.
 
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HankD

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His fund raising tells far more that skewed polls

True, many years ago I was a math major and took statistics as a minor.

By my algorithm I estimate that Trumps true popularity polling score is about 61%.
His biggest gains are due to "folks of color", veterans and true "independents" (globalists refuse to enhance their algorithm accordingly).

He will probably lose to seniors as nothing noteworthy has been accomplished for them although he did just sign the bill to lower drug prices and give some help in other areas (I haven't read the bill) but too little too late (except for COLA).

In fact a very low COLA is predicted (+1.8%) and he will lose seniors to a large degree when the rate increase is officially announced because right or wrong this is their measure of his effectiveness - Medicare as well but that is usually stagnant).

I don't know the value of the variable of "Silent Trumpers" so I used 5% (that's on the conservative side) of the raw total value of the number of voters.

a "Silent Trumper" is someone who says he/she is undecided but has already made up their mind to vote Trump.

If 61% is accurate he is an historical phenomena in terms of 2nd term presidential candidates.
58% if error variable is max.

I believe he might take the popular vote even in California as well as the electoral (hey its possible).
 
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Revmitchell

Well-Known Member
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True, many years ago I was a math major and took statistics as a minor.

By my algorithm I estimate that Trumps true popularity polling score is about 61%.
His biggest gains are due to "folks of color", veterans and true "independents" (globalists refuse to enhance their algorithm accordingly).

He will probably lose to seniors as nothing noteworthy has been accomplished for them although he did just sign the bill to lower drug prices and give some help in other areas (I haven't read the bill) but too little too late (except for COLA).

In fact a very low COLA is predicted (+1.8%) and he will lose seniors to a large degree when the rate increase is officially announced because right or wrong this is their measure of his effectiveness - Medicare as well but that is usually stagnant).

I don't know the value of the variable of "Silent Trumpers" so I used 5% (that's on the conservative side) of the raw total value of the number of voters.

a "Silent Trumper" is someone who says he/she is undecided but has already made up their mind to vote Trump.

If 61% is accurate he is an historical phenomena in terms of 2nd term presidential candidates.
58% if error variable is max.

I believe he might take the popular vote even in California as well as the electoral (hey its possible).

A few polls i have seen has oversampled dems. Rasmuessen was the only one to get it right in 16
 

HankD

Well-Known Member
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A few polls i have seen has oversampled dems. Rasmuessen was the only one to get it right in 16
There are other mathematical/statistical factors involved (coefficients, variables, demographics, etc...) that affect the resultant scores.

The tools of deception are from another field of arts and sciences : social engineering,
 

carpro

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Hilarious.:Roflmao The American people are not as stupid as democrats think they are.
 
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