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Which group will select the POTUS in 2024

Discussion in 'Political Debate & Discussion' started by Salty, Jul 1, 2023.

  1. Salty

    Salty 20,000 Posts Club
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    According to this report:

    The University of Virginia’s Center for Politics published its first forecast of the 2024 electoral college contest today, and only a handful rate as “toss-ups” where either side could win: Georgia, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Nevada. Whoever wins those states will likely win the presidency.

    A lot could change, obviously, given that there are still 16 months until the 2024 elections. UVA’s first forecast for the 2020 elections pegged three states as toss-ups: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Arizona. But there were no toss-ups in the center’s final forecast one day before the election. The group called every state right except North Carolina, which it predicted would go for Democrat Joe Biden. Instead, Republican Donald Trump won it by 1.4 percentage points.

    Still, the UVA forecast is a reminder that for all the endless ads, the political brawling, and the hundreds of billions of dollars in campaign spending, US presidential contests come down to a strikingly small number of voters. Biden won a decisive electoral count victory in 2020, beating Trump 306 to 232. But he won three states — Georgia, Wisconsin, and Arizona — by less than one percentage point, and those states accounted for 37 electoral votes. Had those states gone to Trump instead, the 2020 election would have been a nightmarish 269-269 tie. Less than 1% of voters in three states swung the 2020 election to Biden.

    Do you agree?

    If the the 2024 election is tied - who would the House vote as POTUS
    (Remember - Each State/Commonwealth only gets one vote)
     
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