Featured Will Republicans Keep the Senate?

I thought I'd see if anyone could weigh in from the states up for grabs.

In my state of Arkansas, Sen. John Boozman is going to trounce Democratic sacrificial lamb, Conner Eldridge.


What about your state? (Or any state that interests you?)

 

That's not exactly true. If it were, Merrick Garland would be sitting on SCOTUS right now.

 

He seems to be more of a Stephen Breyer/David Souter kind of jurist. He's not liberal enough to be like RBG. She really is on the far left of things.

That being said, he's more liberal than any nominee a Republican would make.

 

All the NeverTrumpers I've seen in my circles are rather committed to going to the polls to vote for down-ballot races, and they encourage others to do the same. They might vote for Johnson as the only exception to a straight GOP ticket.

 

I don't think there is any way that the GOP loses the House. The main issue with the Senate is confirmation of nominees and appointees, most significantly SCOTUS.

The House can block legislation, but it can't do a thing about judicial nominees. That's up to the Senate, per the Constitution, so there's no way around it.

 

It only matters for primaries, and that's going to depend on the next election cycle. If a Senator isn't up for election until 2022, that's a long time to wait this whole thing out to see where the water gathers. And if a Senator is running in a competitive race against a Democrat, they're likely distancing themselves from Trump and may lose anyway.

 

If I had to guess, as of right now, I think the GOP holds onto the Senate. They definitely keep the House.

As of this moment, I think Hillary will probably win. She'll be limited to executive orders, though, and she can forget about SCOTUS nominees.

But I do think the Senate is going to be close. We may be looking at 51 Republicans or thereabouts.

If Trump wins, I think it would mean a wave that might actually gain a seat or two for the GOP.

 

It would take some serious momentum shifts, but it is possible, albeit unlikely. Clinton probably has another scandal or two up her sleeve. Whether they will stick is another question.

Trump's scandals are more tabloid scandals because he hasn't been in government. It's not government corruption if you are a private citizen (unless you bribe or something).

The best chance to keep liberal justices off of SCOTUS is for the GOP to keep the Senate. A Trump win would cement it, but that's far from assured.