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Yeah. looks sketchy that McCrory was in the lead all night, then all of a sudden 90k votes from this one D county (Durham) pour in - lots of those votes are provisional, still watch out for that recount. Same thing happened here twelve years ago when all those ballots were mysteriously "found"...

In all honesty, Light, I heard late Sunday night that her internals were cratering and she was in big trouble throughout the Midwest and Pennsylvania - that's why she rushed back there and wrapped it all up in Philadelphia. They thought she would lose Colorado very narrowly as well, but she did...

difficult post to make (for me) but want to get it in before it's too late: Trump wins Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, New Hampshire, Michigan, that one district in Maine, and probably Pennsylvania and Colorado, maybe even Wisconsin. Doesn't matter, he's over the top already. Senate - want...

But that is a comparison of the final poll results this year v. the election results of four years ago - all those undecided voters will be in either the Hillary or the Trump column, seeing that most of them won't go third party.

I just posted in another thread that she cancelled a celebration party tomorrow, and doing that without reason this late is always a bad sign. RCP has Hillary winning at 272-266 but: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map_no_toss_ups.html...

Who really cares what he does, he's in Georgia and that is a Trump state. There are some signs that Hillary is in trouble with the black vote, especially with black men...

IntheLight, I will try to crunch some numbers myself later on today and make another (probably) inaccurate prediction. I already disagree with you on Florida, I think it's Trump all the way but I agree that Ohio could make history tomorrow by being a GOP state in a losing election. I think I...

Then go back to moveon and sign some petition for Obama to fire Comey. That one guy submitted this snip to an independent committee to review and make any recommendations to Obama. I don't care about Comey's fate anymore. You do know that Lisa Bloom is Gloria Allred's baby girl, don't you...

Well, who did you decide on, StefanM? Light, my point is that IF Trump in any of those states got 59% of the white vote, they would have flipped - every one of them. He has a good shot at Colorado, PA and MI are tougher.

Yet another prediction based on demographics but I seriously doubt the GOP will come anywhere close to winning the black vote for Trump - what you could have here is a doubling or more of what Romney got in 2012 - that was around 6% IIRC. The black vote is 22% of the total Democrat vote, any...

Okay, I STILL can't call this election and maybe I'm better off if I don't. Not so sure the FBI did more harm than good with that. I'd rather address this demographic argument you make. Sure, Mitt got more a percentage of the white vote than Reagan did in '80 but you should be careful using a...

"If you vote, you ARE a citizen", what circular reasoning and this is after the dreamer states she and her family are illegal immigrants but they "contribute" to the country, so they're citizens. And Obama's sitting there giving them the green light to vote, because if Hillary wins, nobody's...

He just cleared her AGAIN: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3911032/FBI-announces-not-change-decision-regarding-Hillary-Clinton-s-emails.html FIRE HIM FOR VIOLATING THE HATCH ACT NOW!!!! did I sound as stupid?

LOL, don't expect me to be able to explain Donald Trump's actions and motivations, that guy is spastic. You tell me why he's going to your neck of the woods tomorrow?: http://www.twincities.com/2016/11/05/donald-trump-to-make-first-public-minnesota-visit-sunday/ WHAT??? Yeah yeah yeah, I know...

Not the first time Trump cancelled on Wisconsin, think he really dislikes Paul Ryan. I liked this quote because it was a summary of my post - what Trump's mob has to do to beat the fat lady is to show up and vote 60-40 for him next Tuesday.

For any non-troll, read the Hatch Act: https://www.usda.gov/oig/webdocs/Hatch_Act.pdf and tell me how Comey violated that - it says NOTHING about investigating a candidate, for example. And this may sound bad, but it's not some big crime to violate the Hatch Act - it is a governmental...

Nope, Comey's actions don't fall under the umbrella of the Hatch Act but they don't have to - Obama could fire him at will and give him no explanation whatsoever.

Look, Nevada Democrats have a great ground game and they can always manage to GOTV and Obama on there four years ago by over six points but Ralston wrote this. Ralston: http://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/nation-now/2016/08/04/donald-trump-mike-pence-khans-nevada-rally-jon-ralston/88030470/...

A couple of comments about this article - no way are 83 percent of hispanics there are going to turn out. The GOP has half the lead among early voters than it did in 2012, at least a week ago, but they are still ahead down there. https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer Romney won the state by ten...

More on topic, there has been a pattern of Trump doing better in online and automated polls than with a live pollster but the study cited in the OP would have been much better if they had polled the same people with both methods, and gauge the disparity. Too much extrapolation, although I do...