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NEILUNREAL
Over the years, I've studied and thought about evolution from most angles:
biological, theological, mathematical and philosophical. This thread (among
other things) got me musing about evolution, mathematics, and computer
science -- while thinking about the creation/evolution debate, and I came up
with these thoughts. I'm in a somewhat unique position with regard to the
creation/evolution debate in that my faith doesn't fear reductionism, and my
intellect doesn't reject metaphysics -- I'm willing to go where science
leads, because my faith doesn't require scientific validation.
The parts in brackets are more-or-less tautological statements that both
creationists and evolutionists will find true. The un-bracketed parts are
my own musings on the future of evolution as a science.
[I think one thing both sides can agree on is that evolution is one of two
things: either 1) evolution is not only the greatest scientific discovery
ever made, it is possibly the greatest scientific discovery any intelligent
life can ever make; or 2) evolution is the greatest case of fraud and
self-delusion which has ever occurred or has ever been postulated to have
occurred.]
One of the problems with evolution to this point is that it is poorly
understood in a theoretical sense. I don't mean that no theories exist, or
that current biological theories are unsound. What I mean is that no
unifying structure of mathematical theory yet exists for the concept of
evolution in a pure sense (i.e. variation, selection, mutation over time)*.
Computers are only just now making the development of such a body of theory
possible (e.g. the work of Stuart Kauffman, John Holland and others). Only
when this unifying structure is in place is anything resembling a science of
"Intelligent Design" possible. Currently, ID presumes to assert what we
cannot know before we even have the vaguest outline about what we can know.
[In the end, from a scientific standpoint, the theory will provide the
"proof in the pudding." Evolution will be mathematically proven to be
either inevitable or else impossible. Or if possible within limits, those
limits will be known.]
In the past evolution has been presented as sort of flowing along
continuously -- mostly continual minor changes in the genome, accumulating
to produce larger changes in entire populations. In actuality, genomic
changes to a population are more like quantum events, and probably follow
some sort of steeply declining curve where minor changes are much more
frequent than major changes (e.g. "the polar bears" vs. "the bears"). The
basic mathematical structure of the changes may be the same at all levels
(like a fractal), but it may not be. In addition, the curves are really a
set of interacting functions at several levels: for example genomic mutation
vs. phenotypic success, ecological interaction between populations, external
environmental factors, etc.
[In other words, whatever we finally decide about evolution, only the barest
outline of the theory will be accessible to non-scientists.]
"Evolution" is not a force, it's a name we give to an emergent process that
is made of lots of real events of varying magnitude. There may be a
teleology operating within evolution itself (i.e. some larger direction or
pattern), but it's too early to say. There may exist a teleology outside of
evolution, but questions about metaphysics are now (and may always be)
outside the realm of science. I don't see how science can definitively
answer questions about the absolute. After all, God could have created by
fiat a world which looks as if evolution had occurred; on the other hand,
the grossest observable teleology could just be a really lucky quantum
accident. Belief is still a matter for individual minds.
In short and on-topic, I think the study of evolution is important because
it's just getting ready to make the jump from being more like old-fashioned
natural history to being more like physics. In the coming decades,
evolutionary biologists and theoreticians might not seem like such an
obscure breed after all.
-Neil
p.s. Froggie wrote "James Watson…" There's a new book out by Dr. Watson
titled: Genes, Girls, and Gamow : After the Double Helix. I haven't
yet read it, but I attended a lecture Dr. Watson gave on the same topic; it
was a riot -- he's flat-out one of the most entertaining speakers I've ever
heard. But then, I'm a huge fan of Gamow.
* "Variation followed by selection." is too broad by anyone's standards. It
reminds me of Woody Allen's summary of War and Peace: "It involves
Russia
Over the years, I've studied and thought about evolution from most angles:
biological, theological, mathematical and philosophical. This thread (among
other things) got me musing about evolution, mathematics, and computer
science -- while thinking about the creation/evolution debate, and I came up
with these thoughts. I'm in a somewhat unique position with regard to the
creation/evolution debate in that my faith doesn't fear reductionism, and my
intellect doesn't reject metaphysics -- I'm willing to go where science
leads, because my faith doesn't require scientific validation.
The parts in brackets are more-or-less tautological statements that both
creationists and evolutionists will find true. The un-bracketed parts are
my own musings on the future of evolution as a science.
[I think one thing both sides can agree on is that evolution is one of two
things: either 1) evolution is not only the greatest scientific discovery
ever made, it is possibly the greatest scientific discovery any intelligent
life can ever make; or 2) evolution is the greatest case of fraud and
self-delusion which has ever occurred or has ever been postulated to have
occurred.]
One of the problems with evolution to this point is that it is poorly
understood in a theoretical sense. I don't mean that no theories exist, or
that current biological theories are unsound. What I mean is that no
unifying structure of mathematical theory yet exists for the concept of
evolution in a pure sense (i.e. variation, selection, mutation over time)*.
Computers are only just now making the development of such a body of theory
possible (e.g. the work of Stuart Kauffman, John Holland and others). Only
when this unifying structure is in place is anything resembling a science of
"Intelligent Design" possible. Currently, ID presumes to assert what we
cannot know before we even have the vaguest outline about what we can know.
[In the end, from a scientific standpoint, the theory will provide the
"proof in the pudding." Evolution will be mathematically proven to be
either inevitable or else impossible. Or if possible within limits, those
limits will be known.]
In the past evolution has been presented as sort of flowing along
continuously -- mostly continual minor changes in the genome, accumulating
to produce larger changes in entire populations. In actuality, genomic
changes to a population are more like quantum events, and probably follow
some sort of steeply declining curve where minor changes are much more
frequent than major changes (e.g. "the polar bears" vs. "the bears"). The
basic mathematical structure of the changes may be the same at all levels
(like a fractal), but it may not be. In addition, the curves are really a
set of interacting functions at several levels: for example genomic mutation
vs. phenotypic success, ecological interaction between populations, external
environmental factors, etc.
[In other words, whatever we finally decide about evolution, only the barest
outline of the theory will be accessible to non-scientists.]
"Evolution" is not a force, it's a name we give to an emergent process that
is made of lots of real events of varying magnitude. There may be a
teleology operating within evolution itself (i.e. some larger direction or
pattern), but it's too early to say. There may exist a teleology outside of
evolution, but questions about metaphysics are now (and may always be)
outside the realm of science. I don't see how science can definitively
answer questions about the absolute. After all, God could have created by
fiat a world which looks as if evolution had occurred; on the other hand,
the grossest observable teleology could just be a really lucky quantum
accident. Belief is still a matter for individual minds.
In short and on-topic, I think the study of evolution is important because
it's just getting ready to make the jump from being more like old-fashioned
natural history to being more like physics. In the coming decades,
evolutionary biologists and theoreticians might not seem like such an
obscure breed after all.
-Neil
p.s. Froggie wrote "James Watson…" There's a new book out by Dr. Watson
titled: Genes, Girls, and Gamow : After the Double Helix. I haven't
yet read it, but I attended a lecture Dr. Watson gave on the same topic; it
was a riot -- he's flat-out one of the most entertaining speakers I've ever
heard. But then, I'm a huge fan of Gamow.
* "Variation followed by selection." is too broad by anyone's standards. It
reminds me of Woody Allen's summary of War and Peace: "It involves
Russia