CCRob, let me address your posts and by implication some others.
CW seems to be that the Big Ten will not stop at just one. The Pac 10 is also likely to become the Pac 16. So that means that anywhere from 28-32 teams are going to be in two conferences, creating the so-called first of the super conferences. Why wouldn't the SEC want that designation?
And more to the point, why wouldn't the SEC be sought, after they just doled out checks totaling a quarter of a billion dollars at its conference meetings a couple weeks ago.
As for the sky falling, depending on who you ask, we're losing the following:
1. Traditional rivalries. Why should new conference alignments care about storied rivalries like Texas/Okla, Bama/Tenn, etc.?
2. A shot at a playoff. Every step towards a super conference is one more away from a playoff. Some argue the other direction, but consider this: Bama is the best of the 16 best teams in the South. Texas is the best of the 16 best teams in the West/Southwest. Who could argue that those two did what they had to do to compete for a title? Well, I might but that's another story
3. Lower division sports. Say bye bye to some sports. How can the women's softball team and Texas A&M afford to travel to Pullman, WA for three nights?
4. a 2 digit team field in the NCAA tourney. Go ahead an cry wolf, but the Super conferences will argue that 19 wins in their league is better than 25 in another, and those teams should be given the honor of the dance (translation: we have more teams to support, we need the revenue...give us a 128 team field)
That's why some think the sky is falling.
Why would the SEC expand? Simple. If the Big Ten is a super, the Pac 16 will be, the SEC would almost have to follow suit to maintain $$$ relevance when it comes to renegotiating TV contracts which drive the bus right now.
In closing on the SEC, some have talked of the SEC changing for some time. Really, what has SC and ARk brought to the table? ARK has been unhappy, with some fans wanting to go back to a southwestern-based conference. However, it would be hard to get these schools to leave since their bank accounts are larger thanks to the SEC.
Rumored candidates for the SEC: Ga Tech (a former member), Fl State, Clemson, Va Tech, Miami, the Texas schools, Southern Miss (not likely as much now), Louisville, Cincinnati, NC, NC State. I can see a 16 team expansion but some have wondered about a three division conf with 5 each or four divisions of four each. Best two div champs meet to decide the football champion.
And just for kicks: I know many donors and a large number of fans of Kentucky who would love to leave the SEC. You heard me right. They believe they're bigger than the conference. They long for the ACC where they can be more competitive in other sports besides basketball. Stranger things could happen.
I would hope that the Big 12 stays together. I think they have enough strong universities in the major sports and that they could simply add two or more additional universities. Nebraska is one thing, but really, how hard is it to replace CU?
TCU, Houston, Air Force, Utah and BYU would be worthy additions. Plus, Air Force could help keep the Colorado TV market and Utah or BYU would let the Big 12 expand in Utah.
Utah, BYU, TCU and Houston might make for an interesting addition, but no way do they replace Texas, Okla, Okla St, and Colorado for starters.
As for the Big East, where do these schools go? If the SEC raids the ACC, maybe Louisville, Rutgers (providing they don't go to the Big ten), Pitt (providing they don't go to the Big Ten), Cincinnati (providing they don't go elsewhere), Notre Dame (a Super Conference is all that will get them somewhere and I still don't see that as likely) all become ACC candidates.
I wonder if we won't see a couple of minor conferences fold.
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According to the latest on ESPN: it's official - Nebraska goes to the Big Ten July 1, 2011. Texas, Texas Tech, Oklahoma and Oklahoma St will jump to the Pac 10 by middle of next week. So they need one more for the Pac 16 to be complete. Texas A&M will be that one if they do not consider application to SEC. Utah has been mentioned as a possible 16th Pac 16 member. Kansas and Iowa State are asking around. Baylor is considering the MWC. That sound you hear is dominoes falling. And they're falling fast.