COVID-19: We Are Making Decisions Without Reliable Data

[Aaron]

The only thing that makes Covid-19 more dangerous is that we do not have a vaccine for it yet. More than 50,000 people die each year from influenza. There are hundreds of thousands of hospitalizations from influenza every year. One can bicker over which is more dangerous but the only thing that makes covid a bigger concern is the lack of a vaccine.

First, the author is a Stanford epidemiologist.

Second. When the vast majority of those who are being hospitalized are older with preexisting medical issues . . . I have to wonder about your data. So is it a city of nursing homes you're next to? Do you have a very small hospital? How about a little more info about your doomsday?

 

[Aaron]

No, it's the fact that it spreads much faster than flu, people can spread it for up to 14 days while showing no symptoms, the death rate is higher, it can cause permanent lung damage, and it overwhelms hospital beds.

There's no data on that, and the death rate is greatly exaggerated. The vast majority of tests were on people with symptoms who were seeking help or were hospitalized. Do that with the Flu and you have a staggering death rate with Influenza.

BTW, on President Trump's daily briefing he just showed graphs estimating the number of US deaths will be 100,000 to 240,000. That's much worse than any normal flu season and at least twice as much as your stated 50,000 people a year dying from flu. Furthermore, the number of deaths had we not done anything were projected at 2.4 million. When's the last time flu season killed over 2 million Americans?

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Yes, based on assumptions with unreliable data

 

[Reynolds]

There's no data on that, and the death rate is greatly exaggerated. The vast majority of tests were on people with symptoms who were seeking help or were hospitalized. Do that with the Flu and you have a staggering death rate with Influenza.

Yes, based on assumptions with unreliable data

Using the same logic, the death rate for the flu is also greatly exaggerated.
So, if Covid 19 is only killing a lot of old people, its ok?

 

[Aaron]

Using the same logic, the death rate for the flu is also greatly exaggerated.

No it's not, because there is constant scientific sampling of the population to estimate the number of actual cases of Influenza. Not so for COVID 19

 

[Reynolds]

No it's not, because there is constant scientific sampling of the population to estimate the number of actual cases of Influenza. Not so for COVID 19

Constant sampling? How accurate you reckon it is?

 

[Aaron]

Constant sampling? How accurate you reckon it is?

It's fairly reliable.

 

[Aaron]

Oops! Sorry @Revmitchell . ( COVID-19: We Are Making Decisions Without Reliable Data )

What Reynolds said here: COVID-19: We Are Making Decisions Without Reliable Data is what I meant to quote.

 

[InTheLight]

Thanks. My sarcasm meter broke yesterday.

Well, get it fixed. Yours is usually reliable, even one of the better ones on here.