Donald Trump bounces into the lead

[Revmitchell]

Donald Trump comes out of his convention ahead of Hillary Clinton in the race for the White House, topping her 44% to 39% in a four-way matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) and Jill Stein (3%) and by three points in a two-way head-to-head, 48% to 45%. That latter finding represents a 6-point convention bounce for Trump, which are traditionally measured in two-way matchups.

http://www.cnn.com/2016/07/25/politics/donald-trump-hillary-clinton-poll/index.html

 

[Crabtownboy]

Convention bump. I expected this and I expect it to fade.

 

[Alcott]

Don't undervalue attention. The best advertising Ford ever got was when O.J. ran and had the police chase him in his Bronco. Having your name and likeness before the public works.

 

[InTheLight]

Don't undervalue attention. The best advertising Ford ever got was when O.J. ran and had the police chase him in his Bronco. Having your name and likeness before the public works.

Just ask Debbie Wasserman Schultz.

 

[Alcott]

Just ask Debbie Wasserman Schultz.

After her book deal(s) a.d speaking tours?

 

[Lewis]

So far the DNC convention has been a bigger free-for-all than the Republican convention. We'll see if that gives them a bounce or not.

 

[Salty]

The Dems will get a minor bump on Sat
But as I keep saying - I'm waiting on the Oct Surprise.

 

[exscentric]

44% to 39%: one of the pbs programs stated, "the race is getting closer," and didn't bother to give the numbers

 

[carpro]

44% to 39%: one of the pbs programs stated, "the race is getting closer," and didn't bother to give the numbers

39%
Amazing!
It's hard to believe that , as a nation, we have fallen so far that 39% of the voters are willing to put a serial liar and perjurer, as well as a traitor in the office of president.

 

[InTheLight]

I guess it depends on the poll.

Donald Trump received no significant bounce following the Republican National Convention, according to the latest NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll. Hillary Clinton still leads Trump by a single point: 46 percent to 45 percent. These numbers are unchanged from last week.


Sent from my Motorola Droid Turbo

 

[Crabtownboy]

39%
Amazing!
It's hard to believe that , as a nation, we have fallen so far that 39% of the voters are willing to put a serial liar and perjurer, as well as a traitor in the office of president.

I agree, amazing that Trump is even in sight of winning.

 

[Alcott]

The current electoral votes estimate 288 Shillary, 221 Trump, with only Florida's 29 too close to call as 'leaning' a particular way. So Trump would have to take Florida + Pennsylvania or a combination of D-leaning, such as Michigan and Virginia. So it may come down to whether Shillary can continue to get more people to dislike her, while Trump doesn't do the same. That's a tall order, even though Trump seems to have had some coaching on how to be less abrasive, and R's may have to be content with retaining the Senate.

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

 

[InTheLight]

The current electoral votes estimate 288 Shillary, 221 Trump, with only Florida's 29 too close to call as 'leaning' a particular way. So Trump would have to take Florida + Pennsylvania or a combination of D-leaning, such as Michigan and Virginia. So it may come down to whether Shillary can continue to get more people to dislike her, while Trump doesn't do the same. That's a tall order, even though Trump seems to have had some coaching on how to be less abrasive, and R's may have to be content with retaining the Senate.

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

It comes down to whether or not there are enough white males in these states to vote for Trump. That is the election in a nutshell. I don't think there are enough of these people to give Trump the victory.

 

[Rolfe]

It is amazing that we have two candidates, neither of whom is easy to see winning this.

Says something about how stupid the American Voter is...

 

[Alcott]

Suppose it's cold and stormy in Virginia and N.Carolina on Election Day. More Democrats than Republicans say that bad weather may keep them from voting.
https://weather.com/news/news/bad-weather-election-turnout-20120924
And I've read before that 'one inch of rain reduces voter turnout by 1%.' Since November is considered to be beyond the season for tropical storms and usually too early for snow, only an unexpected downpour would change the results-- much less than the likelihood of gaffs by the candidates themselves.

 

[carpro]

It is amazing that we have two candidates, neither of whom is easy to see winning this.

Says something about how stupid the American Voter is...

And how rotten the selection process is.

 

[Rolfe]

And how rotten the selection process is.

It is the voters who support their parties who are responsible.

 

[carpro]

It is the voters who support their parties who are responsible.

Not really. Voters should support their parties ...or get out of the party. It's a system rigged against any other party getting on the ballot in all 50 states. The barriers are enormous.

 

[Rolfe]

Not really. Voters should support their parties ...or get out of the party. It's a system rigged against any other party getting on the ballot in all 50 states. The barriers are enormous.

Of course they are. The voters tolerate it and enable it by blindly supporting their parties. Party leadership does not operate in a vacuum.

If people are unhappy with their chosen party, they should withdraw their support of it. Blind, unquestioned party loyalty is what created this mess.

 

[Smyth]

It comes down to whether or not there are enough white males in these states to vote for Trump. That is the election in a nutshell. I don't think there are enough of these people to give Trump the victory.

The Democrat party is a correlation built on hating the white male minority.