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IBD/TIPP Poll Shows Biden 48%, Trump 46%: 'Biden Is Leaking Democratic Support'

Steven Yeadon

Well-Known Member
Site Supporter

I'm sorry, I should explain with this quote,

"Two weeks before Election Day, early votes have come in from almost every state, and Democrats have a clear edge in ballots that have already been cast, according to NBC News' early voting tracker.

More than 29 million people from 45 states had voted as of Tuesday morning, either by mail or in person. Nearly half of those votes — almost 14.2 million ballots — had come from Democratic-affiliated voters. Republican-affiliated voters had returned almost 10.1 million ballots. And while not every Democrat will vote for former Vice President Joe Biden and not every Republican will vote for President Donald Trump, Democrats have a 14-point edge in returned ballots for which party affiliation is known."

Two weeks until Election Day, Democrats have a big lead in early voting
 

canadyjd

Well-Known Member
I'm sorry, I should explain with this quote,

"Two weeks before Election Day, early votes have come in from almost every state, and Democrats have a clear edge in ballots that have already been cast, according to NBC News' early voting tracker.

More than 29 million people from 45 states had voted as of Tuesday morning, either by mail or in person. Nearly half of those votes — almost 14.2 million ballots — had come from Democratic-affiliated voters. Republican-affiliated voters had returned almost 10.1 million ballots. And while not every Democrat will vote for former Vice President Joe Biden and not every Republican will vote for President Donald Trump, Democrats have a 14-point edge in returned ballots for which party affiliation is known."

Two weeks until Election Day, Democrats have a big lead in early voting
Wow, that’s amazing. I thought absentee ballots couldn’t be opened until Election Day and yet, NBC already knows how people have voted.

I’ll wait for Election Day.

peace to you
 

Revmitchell

Well-Known Member
Site Supporter
Dems are trying hard to get votes in before election day or by mail. It will rest on Rep turnout on election day to beat this blue wall being built up.

There isnt any enthusiasm for Biden. None. Right now, Repubs have a strong lead on early voting. They also have a lead on registration.
 

Steven Yeadon

Well-Known Member
Site Supporter
Are you suggesting that those who vote Rep don't take advantage of the convenience of early voting?

No, not at all. I'm just regurgitating that polls of people that voted early or used mail in votes show more are Dems this time. A poll today show those who haven't voted yet but plan to heavily favor President Trump. I don't know why, but more Rep voters this time around are waiting. This is despite President Trump having more enthusiasm among Reps than Biden has with Dems.

Two weeks until Election Day, Democrats have a big lead in early voting
 

RighteousnessTemperance&

Well-Known Member
No, not at all. I'm just regurgitating that polls of people that voted early or used mail in votes show more are Dems this time. A poll today show those who haven't voted yet but plan to heavily favor President Trump. I don't know why, but more Rep voters this time around are waiting. This is despite President Trump having more enthusiasm among Reps than Biden has with Dems.

Two weeks until Election Day, Democrats have a big lead in early voting
OK. It's just that you said this (highlighting added):
It will all come down to election day turnout. How many Reps turn out that day, since only a quarter of early ballots are voted by Reps.
 
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777

Well-Known Member
Site Supporter
The internals on this poll look solid, so if it's true, Trump will win without a doubt unless a very late October surprise comes up against Trump.
 

Salty

20,000 Posts Club
Administrator
I’ll wait for Election Day.

But in some States/Commonwealths counting will not begin until after the polls close.
And counting balotts could take some time. So we may have to wait a few days for resutls.

Alos, even though the % are close - keeping in mind that uburan areas are usually Dem- it will
come down to the EC
 
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