IOWA flips to Trump big move up for Trump in the last 2 weeks

[Scott Downey]

Trump, Ernst take leads over Dem challengers in Iowa poll

 

[Van]

An interesting comparison is between the polls in 2016 and the polls today.
Wisconsin Trump out performed the state poll by 7 points.
Pennsylvania by 3 points
Florida by 2 points
Michigan by 3 points

And here are the RCP latest averages today for those states:
Wisconsin Biden up 7.3 points
Pennsylvania Biden up 5.6 points
Florida Biden up 1.8 points
Michigan Biden up 8.8 points.

So it appears the Trump under-count unless larger than in 2016, will not be enough. Time will tell.

 

[RighteousnessTemperance&]

An interesting comparison is between the polls in 2016 and the polls today.
Wisconsin Trump out performed the state poll by 7 points.
Pennsylvania by 3 points
Florida by 2 points
Michigan by 3 points

And here are the RCP latest averages today for those states:
Wisconsin Biden up 7.3 points
Pennsylvania Biden up 5.6 points
Florida Biden up 1.8 points
Michigan Biden up 8.8 points.

So it appears the Trump under-count unless larger than in 2016, will not be enough. Time will tell.

I wouldn’t bet on it either way. Polls are not trustworthy. By the way they are campaigning, the Dems don’t seem to believe them.

 

[Van]

I wouldn’t bet on it either way. Polls are not trustworthy. By the way they are campaigning, the Dems don’t seem to believe them.

You are certainly spot on, my point was we will see if they made them even more biased toward the left. And as others have said, I hope so....

 

[Van]

An interesting comparison is between the polls in 2016 and the polls today.
Wisconsin Trump out performed the state poll by 7 points.
Pennsylvania by 3 points
Florida by 2 points
Michigan by 3 points

And here are the RCP latest averages today for those states:
Wisconsin Biden up 7.3 points Biden up 6.6
Pennsylvania Biden up 5.6 points Biden up 2.7
Florida Biden up 1.8 points Biden up 1.0
Michigan Biden up 8.8 points. Biden up 5.1

So it appears the Trump under-count unless larger than in 2016, will not be enough. Time will tell.

Found another source for current polls, added above in red. Not so bleak...

 

[Van]

Upon further review, November 5, and all the votes are said to have not yet been counted...
Trump lost Wisconsin by about 0.7% so the polling was off about 6 points in favor of the left.
Trump is ahead in Pennsylvania by 2.1 points, so the polling was off by about 4 points
Trump won Florida by 2.4 points, so the polling was off by about 5 points
Trump lost Michigan by about 2.7 points, so the polling was off by about 3 points.

Or on average about 4 points, always in favor of the left.

 

[just-want-peace]

Don't know how prevalent it is, but at my house w don't answer the phone unless w know who is calling. I'm sure we've missed a couple of PCH prizes by such, but since we don't know, it don't matter.
Anyway there is no telling how many were simply polling calls that went "un-polled"!
I have no idea the method used to decide WHO to poll, but it fer sure ain't real accurate now-a-days!