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Las Vegas Oddsmaker Announces Final Prediction: Trump Electoral Landslide Coming [I hope]

carpro

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Personally , I predict a narrow electoral college win for Trump with democrats spending the next 2 months in court trying to steal the election by judicial fiat.
 

church mouse guy

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Personally , I predict a narrow electoral college win for Trump with democrats spending the next 2 months in court trying to steal the election by judicial fiat.

I think Trump will lose the west coast and Colorado and New Mexico as well as New England and Virginia and Maryland.

He loses the majority of traditional Democrat minority groups but gains a strong new following except with Jews who stay liberal. Rich while women are really secret Democrats because they are elitist. Eggheads stay Democrat. Organized Labor is mostly Democrat. Indiana cities such as Indianapolis, Bloomington (Indiana University), South Bend, Gary, and Evansville will vote Democrat. Maybe Fort Wayne and Kokomo, too. Last time Indiana was about 2 to 1 for Trump, especially in the poorer counties.
 

Yeshua1

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Personally , I predict a narrow electoral college win for Trump with democrats spending the next 2 months in court trying to steal the election by judicial fiat.
Another reason why imperative to get another conservative SC judge before election!
 

church mouse guy

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Another reason why imperative to get another conservative SC judge before election!

do you think that it will be that close? I think that Trump will have a solid victory so crooked black cities like Philadelphia will not be able to steal the election or delay the conclusion.
 

Yeshua1

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do you think that it will be that close? I think that Trump will have a solid victory so crooked black cities like Philadelphia will not be able to steal the election or delay the conclusion.
I hope that is the case, but we know that the Dems will pull out all stops to win this, by hook, crook, court, or war!
 

church mouse guy

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Personally , I predict a narrow electoral college win for Trump with democrats spending the next 2 months in court trying to steal the election by judicial fiat.

Wow, you called it on the nose! I underestimated Biden’s drawing power. My apologies for not agreeing with you.
 

atpollard

Well-Known Member
Biden is not going to win.
Trump is going to reach 270 without Pennsylvania (who will still be counting votes until Friday) and will finish with closer to 290 votes when the dust settles.
 

carpro

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Wow, you called it on the nose! I underestimated Biden’s drawing power. My apologies for not agreeing with you.

Biden has no drawing power. It's all about hate for Trump, hate strong that enough many people are willing to destroy the nation because of it.
 

Scott Downey

Well-Known Member
Biden has no drawing power. It's all about hate for Trump, hate strong that enough many people are willing to destroy the nation because of it.
Democrats don't care about this country, that is obvious, they want it fundamentally changed.
 

church mouse guy

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Democrats don't care about this country, that is obvious, they want it fundamentally changed.

Trump will be too old in 2024 to run again. Harris will be worse than Obama. We are headed into an Obama economy. Pope Francis will be dancing in the Vatican for days.
 

Yeshua1

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Biden is not going to win.
Trump is going to reach 270 without Pennsylvania (who will still be counting votes until Friday) and will finish with closer to 290 votes when the dust settles.
Trump might lose MI when the Detroit votes finally get counted , so if he holds PA, will he still make it, or stills needs also NC and Ga?
 

Scott Downey

Well-Known Member
Trump might lose MI when the Detroit votes finally get counted , so if he holds PA, will he still make it, or stills needs also NC and Ga?
He needs more than that, he has to get to 270 to win. He can lose MI if he wins NV, PA, NC, GA
He wins I think if he wins either NV or MI, but he can not lose both and win. Those 2 states are the keys to a Trump win.
NV will release more results in the AM, why they wait, dont know.
Covid is the one issue that had the power to prevent a second term for Trump. And give the country over to what I think will be a disaster. But that is what the US people want maybe, to be ruined. Nothing good will come from a Biden administration that I would call good.
 

Yeshua1

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He needs more than that, he has to get to 270 to win. He can lose MI if he wins NV, PA, NC, GA
He wins I think if he wins either NV or MI, but he can not lose both and win.
Any scenerios when neither reach finish line and goes to the House?
 

atpollard

Well-Known Member
Looks like Harris is going to win.
Don't let the raw Electoral totals fool you.
Biden has 238 and Trump has 213 as I write this.

However, Trump has enough of a lead in GA (16), NC (15) and AK (3) that he is all but certain to add 34 more votes to his tally bringing Trump up to 213+34 = 247. Trump currently leads in PA (20) by 8.5%, however only about 60% of the votes have been counted so that is an egg too soon to count as a sure thing ... but a Trump victory in PA looks probable. That brings the Trump Electoral count to 267 out of 270 needed to win.

The other states in play are NV (6) where Biden leads by 0.6% (<8000 votes) with 33% of the votes still to be counted, WI (10) where Biden leads by 0.6% (<21,000 votes) with 5% (170,000 votes) still to be counted, and MI (16) where Biden leads by 0.5% (<29,000 votes) with 4% (214,000 votes) still to be counted.

If Trump wins just one of the states with less than a 1% lead for Biden, Trump will win the election. Biden needs to hold a lead of less than 1% in ALL of those states to win with EXACTLY 270 votes.

Historically, urban areas report votes first and tend towards BLUE, so Democrats take early leads and Republicans either catch up or they do not. So late counts historically skew towards the RED, giving me reason to think that there is an actual chance that ALL of those <1% Biden leads could ultimately be <1% Trump victories ... pushing the Electoral vote in the 290+ range for Trump.
 
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