Where I disagree with you, Just-want-peace, is that there is a base that will rally behind Bush. The GOP is a coalition of Wall Street fiscal conservatives, country-club rich, evangelical Christians, and everyday people who want the Party of Lincoln and responsible government. Just as McCain goes against the Christians whenever possible, so does Wall Street. The GOP cannot control spending and cannot close the borders or bring sense to the energy question. Here in the North we are faced with extremely high heating bills this winter. If the government does not allow nuclear power or the burning of coal for electricity, the depression that sets in up north will last as long as can be seen because it will be too costly to live through these bitter winters. The greens have forced the use of natural gas to make electricity and this has created a shortage for the everyday family when they try to heat their homes in the winter.
Bush has exhausted his base to some point by the long, hard war against terror. It is unclear what the Democrats would do about the war if they win in 2006, but I believe that the Democrats will abandon Iraq if they are elected.