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Trump’s Approval Rating Plunges Amid Wave of Pre-Midterm Violence

FollowTheWay

FollowTheWay

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Bloomberg - Are you a robot?

President Donald Trump’s job approval rating plunged 4 percentage points last week amid a wave of violence, the latest troubling signal for Republican chances in upcoming midterm elections.

Forty percent of Americans approved of Trump’s performance as commander in chief, according to Gallup polling during the week ending Oct. 28. That was down from 44 percent the prior week, an unusually steep decline for the poll, which is based on a survey of 1,500 U.S. adults conducted Monday through Sunday each week.
 
InTheLight

InTheLight

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Don't care about his job approval ratings, just care that he's getting things done. And he is.

Also, the story claims his approval rating dropped during week of violence, the implication being that his rating is going down because of the violence. But there is this little tidbit from the actual article:

Some of the polling was done before the attacks.

Umm, yeah...the pipe bomb story broke late in the morning of Wednesday October 24th. The poll takes place Monday through Sunday. Not only that, but pipe bombs being sent through the mail is not violence. The violence was a mass shooting at a synagogue on Saturday afternoon. So I'm failing to see the linkage between declining job approval numbers and "a week of violence".

I tell you what--a week from tomorrow the midterm elections will be over. Let's see if the Republicans lose seats. If they lose seats, let's compare the number of seats they lost to the number of seats that Clinton and Obama lost in their first term at the midterm elections. In case you were wondering here's the tally:

Clinton, 1994
Lost 54 Democrat seats in the House
Lost 8 Democrat seats in the Senate

Obama, 2010
Lost 63 Democrat seats in the House
Lost 6 Democrat seats in the Senate

I guarantee you that the Republicans will not lose nearly as many seats. I seriously wonder if they will lose any. If they do I bet it's less than 20 in the House.
 
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HankD

HankD

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The polls have been wrong for the past 3 years from the pre-presidential primaries till today.
Remember he had a 97% chance of losing the primaries then almost the same for the election.

The only poll that counts is the one next Tuesday.
 
R

Revmitchell

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Hehe he thinks 4 % is a plunge.
funny-laughing-smiley-emoticon.gif
 
FollowTheWay

FollowTheWay

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InTheLight said:
Don't care about his job approval ratings, just care that he's getting things done. And he is.

Also, the story claims his approval rating dropped during week of violence, the implication being that his rating is going down because of the violence. But there is this little tidbit from the actual article:

Some of the polling was done before the attacks.

Umm, yeah...the pipe bomb story broke late in the morning of Wednesday October 24th. The poll takes place Monday through Sunday. Not only that, but pipe bombs being sent through the mail is not violence. The violence was a mass shooting at a synagogue on Saturday afternoon. So I'm failing to see the linkage between declining job approval numbers and "a week of violence".

I tell you what--a week from tomorrow the midterm elections will be over. Let's see if the Republicans lose seats. If they lose seats, let's compare the number of seats they lost to the number of seats that Clinton and Obama lost in their first term at the midterm elections. In case you were wondering here's the tally:

Clinton, 1994
Lost 54 Democrat seats in the House
Lost 8 Democrat seats in the Senate

Obama, 2010
Lost 63 Democrat seats in the House
Lost 6 Democrat seats in the Senate

I guarantee you that the Republicans will not lose nearly as many seats. I seriously wonder if they will lose any. If they do I bet it's less than 20 in the House.
Click to expand...
We'll just have to wait and see. I think the Democrats can take back the House but not the Senate.
 
FollowTheWay

FollowTheWay

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InTheLight said:
Don't care about his job approval ratings, just care that he's getting things done. And he is.

Also, the story claims his approval rating dropped during week of violence, the implication being that his rating is going down because of the violence. But there is this little tidbit from the actual article:

Some of the polling was done before the attacks.

Umm, yeah...the pipe bomb story broke late in the morning of Wednesday October 24th. The poll takes place Monday through Sunday. Not only that, but pipe bombs being sent through the mail is not violence. The violence was a mass shooting at a synagogue on Saturday afternoon. So I'm failing to see the linkage between declining job approval numbers and "a week of violence".

I tell you what--a week from tomorrow the midterm elections will be over. Let's see if the Republicans lose seats. If they lose seats, let's compare the number of seats they lost to the number of seats that Clinton and Obama lost in their first term at the midterm elections. In case you were wondering here's the tally:

Clinton, 1994
Lost 54 Democrat seats in the House
Lost 8 Democrat seats in the Senate

Obama, 2010
Lost 63 Democrat seats in the House
Lost 6 Democrat seats in the Senate

I guarantee you that the Republicans will not lose nearly as many seats. I seriously wonder if they will lose any. If they do I bet it's less than 20 in the House.
Click to expand...
That tidbit means the next poll will show lower numbers for Trump.
 
FollowTheWay

FollowTheWay

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InTheLight said:
And if it doesn't?

Again, I don't care about poll numbers, just that he gets things done.

Should the US allow the Honduras caravan into the country? Yes or no?
Click to expand...
Everyone who legally applies for sanctuary should be admitted. That's the law.
 
HankD

HankD

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The Republicans probably will keep the house and the senate and may even win seats in the congress.
 
HankD

HankD

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In reality it is surmised that many people lie to pollsters .

No matter what I always say "undecided".

Once while I was a lower-case "i" independent, I was polled and explained what that meant, that I am a true independent with no party affiliation including the upper-case Independent party.

She then asked "Do you always vote your party?"

:Biggrin
 
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777

777

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^ you will especially see that effect in the Senate races. In this toxic political atmosphere, you are not going to level with some WaPo pollster.

I don't know, yes, a R gain in the Senate, doubt it will go anywhere near a super majority of 60, probably about 54, 56. Trump's approval numbers among all adults is just irrelevant next week, you want to look at likely votes in swing districts instead.

The old saw is late undecideds go with the incumbent, but many of these GOP House seats are open, there is no incumbent on the ballot, since so many GOP members retired. Many of them were neverTrumpers. Need to go through them all this weekend, much harder for me to predict than who would win the World Series this year. Everyone, including me, picked the Red Sox and they did.
 
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