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Trump’s Approval Rating Plunges Amid Wave of Pre-Midterm Violence

church mouse guy

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Yes that day I did, about 56 years ago. That's an Air Force uniform I'm wearing.

Thank you for your service! You're kinda old. I'm only 39. Rodney Dangerfield said that when he was a kid, his Dad dressed him up as a fire hydrant on Halloween and took him to the dog show.
 
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church mouse guy

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^ you will especially see that effect in the Senate races. In this toxic political atmosphere, you are not going to level with some WaPo pollster.

I don't know, yes, a R gain in the Senate, doubt it will go anywhere near a super majority of 60, probably about 54, 56. Trump's approval numbers among all adults is just irrelevant next week, you want to look at likely votes in swing districts instead.

The old saw is late undecideds go with the incumbent, but many of these GOP House seats are open, there is no incumbent on the ballot, since so many GOP members retired. Many of them were neverTrumpers. Need to go through them all this weekend, much harder for me to predict than who would win the World Series this year. Everyone, including me, picked the Red Sox and they did.

Dick Morris said that Trump voters ignore politics until the last day or two so that makes it unpredictable. I think Donnelly in Indiana is out. People tell me that he was a jerk even in college at Notre Dame.

Trump wants to abolish the 60 majority rule and so do I.

Arizona doesn't look good for the GOP at this time.
 

777

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You don't think that Libertarian in Indiana will play spoiler then? I'br heard the same about Donnelly, that he has always been a nasty piece of work.

Arizona isn't going to flip, don't care about CNN and their latest push poll, look at these internals:

total of 1,007 adults who live in Arizona were interviewed by telephone by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. Among the entire sample, 25% described themselves as Democrats, 25% described themselves as Republicans, and 49% described themselves as independents or members of another party.


Adults and the 25/25/49 D/R/I does not reflect the reality:

https://apps.azsos.gov/election/voterreg/2018-10-01.pdf

and it didn't help when the Democrat loon called the people of her own state crazy.
 

church mouse guy

Well-Known Member
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You don't think that Libertarian in Indiana will play spoiler then? I'br heard the same about Donnelly, that he has always been a nasty piece of work.

Arizona isn't going to flip, don't care about CNN and their latest push poll, look at these internals:

total of 1,007 adults who live in Arizona were interviewed by telephone by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. Among the entire sample, 25% described themselves as Democrats, 25% described themselves as Republicans, and 49% described themselves as independents or members of another party.


Adults and the 25/25/49 D/R/I does not reflect the reality:

https://apps.azsos.gov/election/voterreg/2018-10-01.pdf

and it didn't help when the Democrat loon called the people of her own state crazy.

Libertarians have cost the GOP several elections in the last several decades. I hope they fade by election day.

A few of them work with the GOP, but as you point out they are still spoilers. If they have a special candidate, they will let a Democrat win.

I have grown to dislike what Libertarians do and what they believe. I used to live in one of the worst Indianapolis areas. It was crawling with prostitutes of both sexes 24/7 and shootings were common because of drug dealings. It is not Christian to abandon these people to their vices and addictions. You cannot have prosperity in the midst of depravity. That is where I disagree with Libertarians.

I don't know anything about Braun and did not vote for him in the primary but I will vote for him in the general. I live in a suburban area outside of a town. My county and township have no elected Democrat officials. I think all the state offices are GOP also. The US House seat is safe GOP here. Rokita was our Congressman but he lost the Senate primary after giving up the House seat. He had been Indiana Sec. Of State for 8 years. Not working downtown anymore, I have lost track of this new crop of Republicans. I knew a lot about the older generation and it is common to see political leaders downtown Indianapolis. I saw Harry Truman on his whistle stop tour of 1948.
 

carpro

Well-Known Member
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Some polls are done just to make democrats believe they are not about to be steamrolled.

Gullible leftists and ever hopeful never Trumpers eat this stuff up.


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
 

Yeshua1

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That tidbit means the next poll will show lower numbers for Trump.
The ONLY poll that really counts is what "what does God think of him", and he has been doing far better than president Obama in carrying out godly agendas and policies!
 

HeDied4U

Well-Known Member
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Dick Morris said that Trump voters ignore politics until the last day or two so that makes it unpredictable. I think Donnelly in Indiana is out. People tell me that he was a jerk even in college at Notre Dame.

Trump wants to abolish the 60 majority rule and so do I.

Arizona doesn't look good for the GOP at this time.

I sure hope so. I know I won't be voting for him.
 

Yeshua1

Well-Known Member
Site Supporter
I sure hope so. I know I won't be voting for him.
the pundits have dems winning by 40 in house, tossup senate, but think they way underestimate the base, do think republicans will gain 2-3 senate seats, and if lose the house, will be close still!
 

FollowTheWay

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The popular vote is irrelevant, it's the Electoral College tally that matters. By the way, Bill Clinton never won the popular vote either.
Bill Clinton WON the popular in both of his elections. he didn't get 50% of the vote due to the presence of Ross perot, a 3rd party candidate, on the ballet. Win means get more votes. Comprende?

In 1992:
Bill Clinton - 43%
GHW Bush - 37.4%
Ross Perot - 18.9%

In 1996:
Bill Clinton - 49.2%
Bob Dole - 40.7%
Ross Perot - 8.4%
 

Adonia

Well-Known Member
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Bill Clinton WON the popular in both of his elections. he didn't get 50% of the vote due to the presence of Ross perot, a 3rd party candidate, on the ballet. Win means get more votes. Comprende?

In 1992:
Bill Clinton - 43%
GHW Bush - 37.4%
Ross Perot - 18.9%

In 1996:
Bill Clinton - 49.2%
Bob Dole - 40.7%
Ross Perot - 8.4%

No, you are wrong in your interpretation of the 1992 election. In 1992 your figures show that Billy Bob was elected by a MINORITY of votes cast. Clinton got 44,909,806 while the combined votes of Mr. Bush and Ross Perot were 58,848,371. More people voted for the other candidates to the tune of 55% of the votes cast. Clinton only became the President because he got 370 electoral votes by carrying 32 states plus the District of Columbia. Like I said, the popular vote is irrelevant.

In 1996, Clinton got 47,401,185 votes which is only 118,442 more votes than Bob Dole and Ross Perot combined got (47,282,763). This time he got 379 electoral votes by carrying 31 states plus the District of Columbia. Once again, it's the electoral vote count that matters and Clinton was thus re-elected, only this time he did indeed get 118,442 more votes. Only in this election are you correct that more votes wins.

Comprende?
 
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