New York is a blue state and will not be won by any Republican candidate, including Trump.
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Why Ted Cruz will Win Iowa
- Thread starter InTheLight
- Start date
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Apparently - the Dems have a 15% threshold - but the R's do not.
In addition - a person can change is support - after discussion - before the final vote is taken
.http://www.cfr.org/united-states/caucus-system-us-presidential-nominating-process/p15640
In addition - a person can change is support - after discussion - before the final vote is taken
.http://www.cfr.org/united-states/caucus-system-us-presidential-nominating-process/p15640
NY primary is not until April 19 so hopefully Cruz will have it all sewn up by then and it won't matter. Besides talking about NY values is not more insulting than talking about Texas Value, or Southern Values. We all know what those mean, and only if you choose to be offended by them are they considered a bad thing. I would think that most liberals in NY would be happy that their views are the predominate view making them NY values, and no one know in NY took offense. They know as conservatives they are in hostile territory. Besides if that is the worst thing you can throw at Cruz then Cruz is the best candidate we have had since I was old enough to vote.
That link is from 2008; the rules have changed since then.
https://www.iowagop.org/caucus-participation/
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Now come on --does Trump NEED any support from the other candidates who drop out? Of course not.
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Hmm...I copied the link verbatim out of my browser URL address.
At the top of the page click on "First in the Nation Caucuses" , then click on "Caucus Participation".
Well, yes, he needs help. People need to realize that Trump has about 40% of support from registered voters. Note: Not registered Republican voters. Not "likely voters". Not likely Republican primary voters. Just overall voters.
Trump has to win Republican PRIMARIES. That takes the votes of registered Republicans that will vote in primary elections. Right now he doesn't have a majority of these voters, he's got about 36% of them.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/national-primary-polls/republican/
As other candidates drop out, their supporters will be going to Rubio and Cruz mainly, because once Super Tuesday is over, that's the only other two that will still be in the running and because Trump has insulted everybody else. Then the polls will tighten, it could even be a three way virtual tie with all three in the 30%-35% range.
Don't forget about states that have open primaries or allow party crossover voting. Democrats can vote for Republicans in these primaries and if they do they would vote for a candidate that they feel would be the weaker Republican candidate. They probably perceive that Cruz is that candidate.
The only thing it says about POUTS vote is: " first item of business will be to conduct a presidential preference poll."
As I said before : That link does not give details.
Yes, in my previous post I said:
"Don't forget about states that have open primaries or allow party crossover voting."
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NY Gov. said that conservatives didn't belong in NY, didn't he?
Wanna bet? He'll take it for sure.
If Trump is still in the race come April 19th, yeah, I'll take that action. There should only be two people left standing by then.