2020 Election Prediction Thread

[KenH]

Thought it might be interesting to have a thread where we can post our election predictions. I'll start.

President:

Biden 52%
Trump 45%
Others 3%



Used the interactive Electoral College map at RealClearPolitics to generate my own map.

U.S. Senate: Democrats Net Gain +6 Seats

U.S. House: Democrats Net Gain +10 Seats

 

[canadyjd]

Rivers of tears from radical liberal leftest in politics and media as POT:S wins big, including winning New York, Pol:si loses her seat and the house goes to repubs. Senate expands repub majority to 56/44.

America wins even bigger!!!

peace to you

 

[carpro]

Rivers of tears from radical liberal leftest in politics and media as POT:S wins big, including winning New York, Pol:si loses her seat and the house goes to repubs. Senate expands repub majority to 56/44.

America wins even bigger!!!

peace to you

Makes as much sense as the OP.

 

[Steven Yeadon]

Looking at it, based on polls and intuition, I predict:

Biden/Harris win presidency

House stays in the hands of the Dems, who may get some more seats, not that many though.

Senate stays Rep by 1 seat or goes 50/50.

 

[SavedByGrace]

Thought it might be interesting to have a thread where we can post our election predictions. I'll start.

President:

Biden 52%
Trump 45%
Others 3%

View attachment 4309

Used the interactive Electoral College map at RealClearPolitics to generate my own map.

U.S. Senate: Democrats Net Gain +6 Seats

U.S. House: Democrats Net Gain +10 Seats

a lesson from old England, perhaps. in 2017 our PM was 19 % ahead of her opponent, and she called an election. the result was that the very small majority, 5, that the Tory party had, was lost, and Mrs May the PM had to try to govern with a deal with the Northern Ireland party, which did not work out. so much for the polls!

 

[SavedByGrace]

Looking at it, based on polls and intuition, I predict:

Biden/Harris win presidency

House stays in the hands of the Dems, who may get some more seats, not that many though.

Senate stays Rep by 1 seat or goes 50/50.

or, all 3 to the Dems!

 

[SGO]

More fetuses dead.
What God knits in the womb.
You need to pray more positively.

 

[Van]

I have no "special knowledge" of the future, so my view is my hope for the future.
Mr. Trump is re-elected, winning Florida, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.
The Republicans take the House and hold on to the Senate.

 

[church mouse guy]

Ditto.

 

[Use of Time]

Thought it might be interesting to have a thread where we can post our election predictions. I'll start.

President:

Biden 52%
Trump 45%
Others 3%

View attachment 4309

Used the interactive Electoral College map at RealClearPolitics to generate my own map.

U.S. Senate: Democrats Net Gain +6 Seats

U.S. House: Democrats Net Gain +10 Seats

I don’t see Biden winning Florida.

 

[Reynolds]

I don’t see Biden winning Florida.

Only thing Biden wins is the senile contest.

 

[Steven Yeadon]

My bet is President Trump carries southern swing states like Florida and loses suburban Midwest states like Pennsylvania he carried last time. Election is a week away, I'll see if I'm right or wrong soon.

 

[KenH]

I don’t see Biden winning Florida.

Florida tends to always be close. I would be shocked if I picked 50 out 50 states correctly. However, Florida plans to get its vote counting completed on election night, so if Biden does win Florida, then the race is over. There is not a really viable path for Trump without winning Florida; he could still win but it would be like winning the Power Ball lottery jackpot two nightly draws in a row.

 

[SGO]

Remember that guy, Hanging Chad, in Florida in the 2000 election?
That was close enough to bring in the SCOTUS to decide it.

 

[Use of Time]

Only thing Biden wins is the senile contest.

I don’t think you are qualified to make that call.

 

[Reynolds]

I don’t think you are qualified to make that call.

I just made it.

 

[canadyjd]

Remember that guy, Hanging Chad, in Florida in the 2000 election?
That was close enough to bring in the SCOTUS to decide it.

SCOTUS didn’t decide the 2000 election. The Fla Secretary of State certified B:sh as the winner by about 500 votes, according to Fla law. That gave him the win.

SCOTUS said state officials can’t change the rules after the election.

FTR: Every recount done in 2000 Fla showed B:sh winning.

peace to you

 

[church mouse guy]

My bet is President Trump carries southern swing states like Florida and loses suburban Midwest states like Pennsylvania he carried last time. Election is a week away, I'll see if I'm right or wrong soon.

Trump is good in most of the rust belt. PA has a lot of fracking jobs but the problem is Philadelphia. Ohio is safe for Trump. Indiana is safe for Trump. Minnesota is very leftist so it is dubious as the rural areas are leftists unlike other states in the Great Lakes area. Illinois is a no man's land of Democrats.

 

[Steven Yeadon]

Trump is good in most of the rust belt. PA has a lot of fracking jobs but the problem is Philadelphia. Ohio is safe for Trump. Indiana is safe for Trump. Minnesota is very leftist so it is dubious as the rural areas are leftists unlike other states in the Great Lakes area. Illinois is a no man's land of Democrats.

That's what I heard. I figure President Trump takes Ohio and Indianna. Only two real candidates in the Midwest otherwise, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Those are turn out wars. If Trump takes both, he wins and done deal. If he loses both, he likely loses the election. If he wins one, he can still lose if Biden surprises in the southern US.

 

[SGO]

SCOTUS didn’t decide the 2000 election. The Fla Secretary of State certified B:sh as the winner by about 500 votes, according to Fla law. That gave him the win.

SCOTUS said state officials can’t change the rules after the election.

FTR: Every recount done in 2000 Fla showed B:sh winning.

peace to you

https://www.history.com/news/2000-election-bush-gore-votes-supreme-court
If you leave the site on there is a vocal explanation also.