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Trump is only popular within an insulated media echo-chamber. People are either completely on the Trump train, or they oppose Trump strongly. At best, he can hope for only about 40% of the popular vote.Based on enthusiasm for Trump I think it is unlikely that the Democrat’s antics are going to be enough to enable a dragged-out election to be settled by lawyers and rioters.
It is quite likely that Trump will have the highest percentage of votes counted on election night since he has asserted that the election will be rigged against him. Many Trump voters will early vote in person or vote on election day, allowing their votes to be counted very early in the process. Votes from states will mail-in voting (other than Florida), will take days and weeks to count since they have to verify signatures and ensure that persons do not vote more than once. Only Florida currently verifies and processes mail-in votes as they come in, allowing them to be counted shortly after the polls close.I suspect Trump’s victory will be evident enough on election night...
That seems like a pipe dream.I would not be shocked to have a Trump victory along the lines Reagan’s 1984 landslide.
That was my first Presidential election and I don't recall a lot of predictions that Reagan would lose. Reagan was quite popular at the time. I even lived in a heavily Democratic unionized area, and the people who didn't like Reagan (like some of my former school teachers and a couple of student groups) were distinct minorities. Mondale was such a terrible candidate and still reeked of the failures of the Carter Administration that I didn't know anyone who would admit voting for him. Many people I knew would vote for a whole slate of Democratic candidates for state and federal office, but they would vote for Reagan as President.I remember standing in line for the 1984 election, it was the first I ever voted and much like this election the enthusiasm was very high yet there were many predictions that Reagan would lose.
Simply put, Biden is not Trump. That's the beginning and the end of it for most people who are going to vote for him. They see him as a decent man who can help rebuild our nation and bring people together. Moreover, Biden is not doing big rallies because they are dangerous to the health and well-being of the nation. Our economy and our lifestyle is in tatters because we have a President who ignores science and willfully creates situations that perpetuate COVID-19. Outside of the Trump bubble, the rest of the population is horrified and frustrated with the President....there is not much to worry about Biden’s chances to win. It would not even make sense when one considers the lack of excitement around him winning and lack of enthusiasm to even hear him speak.
I will disagree with you. How can someone who is only popular in a media bubble draw thousands to rallies on short notice all over the country? POT:S will push 50% of the vote.Trump is only popular within an insulated media echo-chamber. People are either completely on the Trump train, or they oppose Trump strongly. At best, he can hope for only about 40% of the popular vote.
It is quite likely that Trump will have the highest percentage of votes counted on election night since he has asserted that the election will be rigged against him. Many Trump voters will early vote in person or vote on election day, allowing their votes to be counted very early in the process. Votes from states will mail-in voting (other than Florida), will take days and weeks to count since they have to verify signatures and ensure that persons do not vote more than once. Only Florida currently verifies and processes mail-in votes as they come in, allowing them to be counted shortly after the polls close.
The likeliest scenario is that Trump will have a slight numerical advantage on election night, with enormous numbers of votes uncounted. It will take a few weeks to get a clearer picture of the vote. In this scenario, expect President Trump to complain and accuse everyone imaginable of fraud, then demand that vote counts stop, appealing it all the way to the Supreme Court where he hopes his new Justices will rule in his favor. I doubt he will be successful at the Supreme Court.
The second likeliest scenario is that Biden will narrowly win Florida, almost guaranteeing a decisive win of the election, but Trump will complain and accuse everyone imaginable of fraud and seek to have all votes counted (which everyone should be able to support). He will likely lose, but maintain that he had the Presidency "stolen" from him. He will spend the rest of his term pardoning everyone he can.
That seems like a pipe dream.
That was my first Presidential election and I don't recall a lot of predictions that Reagan would lose. Reagan was quite popular at the time. I even lived in a heavily Democratic unionized area, and the people who didn't like Reagan (like some of my former school teachers and a couple of student groups) were distinct minorities. Mondale was such a terrible candidate and still reeked of the failures of the Carter Administration that I didn't know anyone who would admit voting for him. Many people I knew would vote for a whole slate of Democratic candidates for state and federal office, but they would vote for Reagan as President.
Simply put, Biden is not Trump. That's the beginning and the end of it for most people who are going to vote for him. They see him as a decent man who can help rebuild our nation and bring people together. Moreover, Biden is not doing big rallies because they are dangerous to the health and well-being of the nation. Our economy and our lifestyle is in tatters because we have a President who ignores science and willfully creates situations that perpetuate COVID-19. Outside of the Trump bubble, the rest of the population is horrified and frustrated with the President.
If you don't agree, that's fine. But I have a history of predicting elections in the age of Trump. In a small poll in 2018, I was the only one who predicted that Democrats would win the House and Republicans would hold the Senate.
At best, he can hope for only about 40% of the popular vote.
Simply put, Biden is not Trump. ... They see him as a decent man who can help rebuild our nation and bring people together.
Our economy and our lifestyle is in tatters because we have a President who ignores science and willfully creates situations that perpetuate COVID-19.
Biden is not doing big rallies because they are dangerous to the health and well-being of the nation.
I have a history of predicting elections...
Sounds more like the Dem MSM “media echo-chamber” is insulating Biden voters from the truth, infecting them with TDS and doing far worse damage than even COVID-19. Very sad for them and for the country.Trump is only popular within an insulated media echo-chamber.
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Simply put, Biden is not Trump. That's the beginning and the end of it for most people who are going to vote for him.
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No closet. I've been happy not to have been a part of this board for a while. Been dealing with some important issues with family and local crime.Oh look BB came out of his closet.
You actually DON'T know that, that's just the opinion you've inherited from whatever propagandist you're currently listening to at the moment. The Republican-controlled (but bipartisan) Senate Intelligence Committee Report on Russian Interference in the 2016 Election (Volume 5) lays out extensive evidence of collusion between the Trump Campaign (including Trump himself) and Wikileaks (through Roger Stone), with the Trump campaign knowing of the public reporting and intelligence assessments that the Wikileak information was coming from Russia. And there's a LOT more, but I'm sure you have either not heard about that because of your media habits, or you don't want to know about it.Kind of surprising after assuring us that Trump and others who worked in his admin who were railroaded by comey and company were guilty. Of course now we know it was all fabricated by shrillary to cover up her own email scandal.
I have been proven right in many assertions, and never proven wrong. There will be much more to come when the President loses his immunity. That's when you will be able to make an honest evaluation of my reliability in these matters.Your delusion and derangement over Trump is well documented on this board.
I don't need or want your permission.You are welcome to continue to keep displaying it.
If Trump were to pull out 400+ electoral votes in a Yuge Red Wave I still doubt many on the Radical Left would discount their media propaganda machine.If he pulls out 330+ electoral votes, it will definitively expose the worthlessness of the polling industry in particular, and the media in general.
Vote for Law and Order! IOWs vote Trump!Been dealing with some important issues with family and local crime.
There is a difference between being stubborn and your prideful denial and never being proven wrong which is pretty messed up delusional nonsense talk.I have been proven right in many assertions, and never proven wrong.
We have around 330 million people in the United States. If we assume that just 1% of the population would be zealously interested in going to see Trump in person, that's 3.3 million people. That's a larger fan base than many bands that toured the US in better times. Given that political rallies are free to attend, and rallies tend to take place near population centers, it is relatively easy to fill up an arena if you are a celebrity and you provide a free spectacle.I will disagree with you. How can someone who is only popular in a media bubble draw thousands to rallies on short notice all over the country?
I've never heard the claim you are making. I've heard the PRESIDENT claim, without evidence, that 3 million people cast votes illegally for Clinton, but I have heard no prominent Democrat claim Trump stole the election. I haven't even heard a loony Democrat claim such a thing, but I'm sure that's possible -- somewhere.Let’s be clear, the dems have complained for almost four years that POT:S stole the election with no evidence.
I hope so. And when the American people vote Trump and many Republicans out of office, will you accept the verdict?...and the American people will have the final say in this election.
I'm voting for the rule of law... and that's voting Trump and Bill Barr out of office.Vote for Law and Order!
I haven't been wrong about Trump except where I overestimated his character. Until you read the Senate Intelligence Committee Report and refute it, you have no factual basis to disagree.There is a difference between being stubborn and your prideful denial and never being proven wrong which is pretty messed up delusional nonsense talk.
No closet. I've been happy not to have been a part of this board for a while. Been dealing with some important issues with family and local crime.
You actually DON'T know that, that's just the opinion you've inherited from whatever propagandist you're currently listening to at the moment. The Republican-controlled (but bipartisan) Senate Intelligence Committee Report on Russian Interference in the 2016 Election (Volume 5) lays out extensive evidence of collusion between the Trump Campaign (including Trump himself) and Wikileaks (through Roger Stone), with the Trump campaign knowing of the public reporting and intelligence assessments that the Wikileak information was coming from Russia. And there's a LOT more, but I'm sure you have either not heard about that because of your media habits, or you don't want to know about it.
I have been proven right in many assertions, and never proven wrong. There will be much more to come when the President loses his immunity. That's when you will be able to make an honest evaluation of my reliability in these matters.
I don't need or want your permission.
And it's clear you haven't even reviewed the Senate Intelligence Committee Report (Volume 5). You are a stubborn one.Uh no. No one has laid out any collusion...
You can trott out the old collusion thing if you want but at this point to do so is just embarrassing.
And it's clear you haven't even reviewed the Senate Intelligence Committee Report (Volume 5). You are a stubborn one.
And it's clear you haven't even reviewed the Senate Intelligence Committee Report (Volume 5). You are a stubborn one.