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OFFICIAL ELECTION RESULTS THREAD

bb_baptist

New Member
Polling Dissonance: Ohio

The Pre-Election Polls

Date: October 17, 2004.
Source: ABC News.
Poll: Kerry leads by three points, 50-47, with three percent undecided.

Date: October 20, 2004.
Source: CNN/Gallup/USA Today.
Poll: Kerry leads by one point, 48-47, with four percent undecided.

Date: October 21, 2004.
Source: Univ. of Ohio/Scripps News Service.
Poll: Kerry leads by four points, 50-46, with three percent undecided.

Date: October 25, 2004.
Source: Survey USA.
Poll: Kerry leads by three points, 50-47, with two percent undecided.

Date: October 26, 2004.
Source: Los Angeles Times.
Poll: Kerry leads by six points, 50-44, with six percent undecided.

Date: October 31, 2004.
Source: CNN/Gallup/USA Today.
Poll: Kerry leads by four points, 50-46, with four percent undecided.

The Actual Result

George Bush wins the state, by well over 100,000 votes, and by a margin of 51.0-48.5.

http://polipundit.com/
 

bb_baptist

New Member
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Enoch

New Member
4 MORE YEARS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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YOU ROCK PRESIDENT BUSH!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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PRAISE GOD!!!!!!!!!
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THANK YOU JESUS!!!!!!!!!!!!

YAAAAAHHHHOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!
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YEEEAAAAAHHHHH BABY!!!!!!!
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Scott J

Active Member
Site Supporter
This is the first election since 1988 where the winner got over 50% of the vote.

Does anyone have a good source for the election demographics? I am interested in how much of a difference evangelicals made as well as how much Bush increased his share of the black vote.

CNN had Bush increasing his share of blacks by 2%... of course this comes from the same polling that had basically given Kerry the election by mid-day yesterday.

BTW, I think my conservative brethren are going overboard with their conspiracy theories on the exit polls. Those polls simply didn't take the objectives of the Bush ground game/GOTV into account. Exit polls depend on certain polling places acting as barometers. Bush stopped courting undecides several weeks ago and turned to squeezing more votes out of the "red" counties.

Maybe there was a conspiracy. But I don't think it was in the exit polling. For instance, I am very suspicious that Mark Halperin's memo was just the tip of a large iceberg among the inbred mainstream media. For the past month, Bush has received overwhelming and continuous negative press while it has been hands off for Kerry. It is very hard to believe that this was completely incidental considering the behavior of CBS, Halperin, the NYT, etc.

The NYT was most definitely trying to create an October surprise with the "380 tons" story- which appears to have been coordinated with the Kerry campaign.
 

JGrubbs

New Member
We will see what they can do with a GOP President and GOP control of both the House and Senate. The next two years will show what they really stand for and what their priorities are.
 

bb_baptist

New Member
Iowa is finally 100% in

IOWA
2079 of 2079 precincts - 100 percent

George W. Bush (i) Rep 745,742 - 50 percent
John F. Kerry Dem 732,492 - 49 percent
Ralph Nader PEC 5,811 - 0 percent
Michael Badnarik Lib 2,893 - 0 percent
Michael Peroutka CST 1,295 - 0 percent
David Cobb Grn 1,108 - 0 percent
James Harris SWP 361 - 0 percent
Bill Van Auken PEC 159 - 0 percent
 

JGrubbs

New Member
Precincts: 99%

George W. Bush, GOP (i) 59,017,382 51%
John Kerry, Dem 55,435,808 48%
Ralph Nader, Ind 394,794 0%
Michael Badnarik, Lib 378,198 0%
Michael Peroutka, CST 129,842 0%
David Cobb, Grn 105,524 0%
 
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