OFFICIAL ELECTION RESULTS THREAD

[JGrubbs]

Originally posted by Joseph_Botwinick:
Of course, they destroyed the first ballots, right?

Joseph Botwinick

Not according to the news story:

A second ballot gave voters a second round in the voting booth and a chance to vote twice for their favorite candidate, Local 6 News reported.

Galey said that it is not known how many people had the opportunity to vote twice before the problem was realized.

http://www.local6.com/politics/3884357/detail.html

 

[Joseph_Botwinick]

Bush wins Missouri and Arkansas.

 

[here now]

B 193
K 112

 

[KenH]

Looks like Specter might be in big trouble:

Hoeffel(D)
783,432 51%

Specter(R)
(Incumbent)
687,788 45%

Clymer(CP)
46,903 3%

Summers(LP)
20,782 1%

40% precincts reporting - Updated: 10:12 p.m. ET

 

[Joseph_Botwinick]

Originally posted by JGrubbs:
</font><blockquote>quote:</font><hr />Originally posted by Joseph_Botwinick:
Of course, they destroyed the first ballots, right?

Joseph Botwinick

Not according to the news story:

A second ballot gave voters a second round in the voting booth and a chance to vote twice for their favorite candidate, Local 6 News reported.

Galey said that it is not known how many people had the opportunity to vote twice before the problem was realized.

http://www.local6.com/politics/3884357/detail.html </font>[/QUOTE]Why can't you guys get this right down there. Are the 3 stooges running your elections in Florida?

Joseph Botwinick

(Hey, Moe! Hey, Moe!)

 

[KenH]

Originally posted by Joseph_Botwinick:
How does it compare?

Go here -

www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/AR/P/00/map.html

and click on any county. As you move your mouse over a county the name pops up.

 

[here now]

So you can just go up and say that your ballot was missing something and you get another one. Man, I wish I had known that. J/K

 

[Joseph_Botwinick]

Originally posted by JGrubbs:
Looking good for Bush in Florida with almost 80% of the precincts reporting including both of the mainly liberal Broward and Miami-Dade at over 80% reporting each, Bush is in the lead with 51.2% of the vote. Still has a few conservative counties left to report.

I am still curious as to what the absentee and early voting ballots will do to the totals.

My guess is that the overseas military votes, if they are not disenfranchised, will go heavily for Bush.

Joseph Botwinick

 

[Alcott]

Originally posted by JGrubbs:
I am confused how they can call a state for a candidate with less than 5% of the precincts reporting. For instance they are calling Texas for Bush, but only 4% of the 8806 precincts reporting.

It's random sampling. They have studies to make certain there are poll answerers are proportional geogrphically to the state as a whole and that in each voter has an equal chance of being selected to answer the exit poll. I haven't done these kind of calculations for a long time, but it can determined with actually little effort the number of samples that must be taken to state within a particular confidence interval the results for the population based on the sample thereof.

The confidence intervals with which we most often dealt in my statisitics classes were 95% and 99%. I don't know for sure what the media requires to declare winner for a state, but I suspect it is 98% to 99%.

[Italicized terms are those which have technical meanings in statistics.]

 

[JGrubbs]

Yeah, the military ballots usually do. I am curious about the 2 million early voting ballots in Florida that haven't been counted yet.

 

[Joseph_Botwinick]

Looks like you guys tend to go slightly more for the GOP while my county tends to go slightly for the Communist terrorist party.

Joseph Botwinick

 

[LadyEagle]

Awesome. Fox News just showed a live shot of our troops in Fallujah, Iraq watching the returns on Fox News. LOL. Awesome.

 

[Joseph_Botwinick]

Yeah. I just saw that. That was cool.

 

[KenH]

Originally posted by Joseph_Botwinick:
Looks like you guys tend to go slightly more for the GOP while my county tends to go slightly for the Communist terrorist party.

Slightly? My county is currently showing 65% for President Bush with 44% of the vote counted.

 

[Joseph_Botwinick]

I was going by the shades of red and blue on the map. Union County seemed to have a lighter shade of red than other counties.

 

[Joseph_Botwinick]

With 79.2% reporting in Florida, Bush seems to be holding steady onto his lead of 51.6% to 47.6%.

 

[Joseph_Botwinick]

Make that 80.9% reporting. The numbers stay the same.

 

[JGrubbs]

Some of the conservative counties, including those in the panhandle still haven't reported.

 

[KenH]

Originally posted by Joseph_Botwinick:
Union County seemed to have a lighter shade of red than other counties.

The map is off on that coloring. It should be solid red.

 

[KenH]

I think President Bush will win Florida.

Now he needs Ohio and Colorado to come through.