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Some of the Genetic Evidence for the Evolution of Man

UTEOTW

New Member
So, you refuse to commit to saying that it was dishonest for you source to leave out context that changes the meaning of the quote you gave us? At the same time, you refuse to defend your sources actions in giving a quote in which the meaning was changed by removing context. It would be really nice for you to come down on one side of that fence.

But I can see why you must sit up on it. Coming down on either side would be devestating. To admit dishonesty, well I am not sure that I have seen a YEer here admit another YEer was ever incorrect. And it would ruin all those nice quotes you gave us. On the other hand, the dishonesty is so obvious that to defend it would be to dig yourself a deeper hole than the one that exposing the quote has already put you in.

Yes, I would remain straddled across that fence on this question.

But you could tell us on what basis you judge the various contradictory YE leaders to see which ones you think are right.

"There is one indisputable fact. Evolution is an athestic philosophy, it is not science."

Not a fact. I dispute the claim.

Evolution is based on observations, it makes testable predictions, it is falsifiable, and it does an excellent job of explaining wat we observe.

Now, will anyone ever present a testable, falsifiable, predictive YE theory?
 

OldRegular

Well-Known Member
Originally posted by UTEOTW:
Evolution is based on observations, it makes testable predictions, it is falsifiable, and it does an excellent job of explaining wat we observe.
I had intended to quit this discussion since it proved to be fruitless. It cannot be disputed that just as Creation Scientists approach scientific observations from the viewpoint of the existence of God and Divine Creation evolutionists approach scientific observations from the viewpoint of unlimited time and chance. However, according to the evolutionists on this thread all who advocate Biblical Creation are liars, deceivers, and unlearned while those who believe in evolution represent the epitome of righteousness, truth, and knowledge.

Your statement that evolution makes testable predictions is completely untrue. There have been no tests that demonstrate macro-evolution. You correctly state that evolution is falsifiable, given that falsify means to make false so as to deceive.

Also it cannot be denied that evolution is an athiest philosophy. The majority of those scientists? who advocate evolution now and in the recent past are athiest. Unfortunately some Christians have been deceived into believing this philosophy.

Perhaps evolution could be called a pagan science since the Hebrews were apparently the only ancient people who believed in Divine Creation and that because of the revelation of Scripture.
 

Magnetic Poles

New Member
Falsify does not mean that a concept is false, but rather a way of evaluating a claim.

An excerpt on the subject:

Falsifiability
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia.

This page discusses how a theory or assertion is "falsifiable" ("disprovable" opp: "verifiable"), rather than the non-philosophical use of "falsification", meaning "counterfeiting." The idea comes from the work of the philosophers Sir Karl Popper and Ernest Gellner.

Falsifiability is an important concept in the philosophy of science that amounts to the apparently paradoxical idea that a proposition or theory cannot be scientific if it does not admit consideration of the possibility of its being false.

"Falsifiable" does not mean "false". For a proposition to be falsifiable, it must be possible in principle to make an observation that would show the proposition to be false, even if that observation has not been made. For example, the proposition "All crows are black" would be falsified by observing one white crow.


Complete link is http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falsifiability
 

UTEOTW

New Member
Not going to answer my questions... I see.

"Your statement that evolution makes testable predictions is completely untrue."

Let's examine that statement of yours.

Let's stick with one subject. I choose whales. This will allow us to see how this predictive thing works.

If you look at living whales, let's discuss some of the observations you can make. First of all they are mammals. Mammals are generally land dwelling. Whales go through a developmental stage in which they have legs and feet which are reabsorbed before birth. This might indicate their ancestors once had legs. Sometimes whales are born with fully formed atavistic legs. Since this means that they have dormant genes for making legs which can accidentally be turned on, this is even stronger support for their being whales with legs in the past. Whales also have a set of dozens of genes for making a sense of smell. The thing is, most of these genes are identical to those that land animals use for their sense of smell. Furthermore, these genes have been deactivated.

All these things together allows one to predict that there is likely to have been land dwelling animals in the past that evolved into whales. This is a prediction and it is testable.

By exploring the fossil record we have been able to test the prediction and theory that whales have land dwelling ancestors. Some of the whale transitionals that have been found include Pakicetus, Ambulocetus, Dalanistes, Rodhocetus, Tackrecetus, Indocetus, Gaviocetus, Durodon, and Basilosaurus. Thus the prediction that we should find such ancestors has been tested and found to be true.

Now if you trace the whale fossils all the way back to their land dwelling ancestor you find a curious thing. There is a group of animals called even-toed ungulates (Ungulates are those animals with hooves and even-toed just means that this group has an even number of hooves per foot.) THis group is more properly called artiodactyls. They include animals like pigs, hippos, camels, llamas, giraffes, deer, goats, sheep, cattle, and antelopes. This group of animals also can trace their ancestry back to the same basic type of ancestor as the whales. Whales ARE artiodactyls!

Now, from this fossil finding, you can make the prediction that genetic testing should show that whales are more closely related to the artiodactyls than they are to any other animals. Again, testing confirms this prediction. (This also becomes one of my favorites. YEers often dismiss genetic similarities by saying that similar animals would be expected to have similar DNA in their paradigm also. No one is going to confuse Flipper with Bullwinkle but their DNA is very similar.)

These are but one small example of the types of predictions that biologists can make and test. Furthermore, there is no logical explanation for these things outside of common descent!

"You correctly state that evolution is falsifiable, given that falsify means to make false so as to deceive."

I think you misunderstand. Falsifiable basically means that it has a means to be evaluated through which it can be determined if it is true or not. Let's give an example.

One of the reasons I used above to suggest that whales had land dwelling ancestors was the presence of atavistic legs on occasion. Atavisms are a minor part of the evidence for evolution. Another example of atavisms are the occasional tails that human babies are born with.

Now, this particular evidence for common descent could be falsified in a specific manner. Namely, by presenting atavism which do not fit in with current theories of descent. For example, if a mammal where to be born with atavistic feathers, that would not be possible to explain in terms of evolution since no mammal should have an ancestor that includes birds. Or to go in the opposite direction, it would be hard to explain a lactal nipple on a reptile. I am sure if you were to think about it for a while, you could produce pages of such prediction simply based on your own knowledge of the differences between the groups of animals on this planet.

"However, according to the evolutionists on this thread all who advocate Biblical Creation are liars, deceivers, and unlearned while those who believe in evolution represent the epitome of righteousness, truth, and knowledge."

I do not think that this has been the message at all. I personally think that there are some devious among the leaders of YE. Your quote mining is a great example of such. There are also some who are merely wrong. And as you more down the ladder, I think most YEers are good, honest people who happen to be incorrect.
 

OldRegular

Well-Known Member
Your above post is simply a rehash of that old discreted myth Ontogeny recapitulates phylogeny.

You said:
Evolution is based on observations, it makes testable predictions.
.

I countered:
There have been no tests that demonstrate macro-evolution.
So where are the tests that demonstrate macro-evolution?

I also note that you did not deny my statement that:
Evolutionists approach scientific observations from the viewpoint of unlimited time and chance.
It has been shown statistically that even using the age of the universe there is not enough time for the evolution of man to occur by chance. The long held concept of gradualism in evolution has been proven false. Therefore, some evolutionists have resorted to the concept of punctuated equilibrium, which is a product of no evidence for evolution, no transitional forms either in the fossil record or in the world today as I noted by question some days back. Also, geologists have had to buy into a catostrophic history of the earth. Uniformitarianism, flew out the window.

Sadly some Christians have bought into the idea of theistic evolution as Mattel has rightly noted:

“Those liberal and neo-orthodox Christians who regard the creation stories as myths or allegories are undermining the rest of Scripture, for if there was no Adam there was no fall; and if there was no fall, there was no hell; and if there was no hell, there was no need of Jesus as Second Adam and Incarnate Savior, crucified and risen. As a result the whole biblical system of salvation collapses. .... Evolution thus becomes the most potent weapon for destroying the Christian faith.”

You still reject the implication of these remarks, perhaps because they hit too close home.

By the way was Paul lying when he made the statement: [1 Corinthians 15:45] And so it is written, The first man Adam was made a living soul; the last Adam was made a quickening spirit.?
 

npc

New Member
OldRegular came out of the closet to say:
Your statement that evolution makes testable predictions is completely untrue. There have been no tests that demonstrate macro-evolution.
Talk.origins:
* Darwin predicted, based on homologies with African apes, that human ancestors arose in Africa. That prediction has been supported by fossil and genetic evidence (Ingman et al. 2000).
* Theory predicted that organisms in heterogeneous and rapidly changing environments should have higher mutation rates. This has been found in the case of bacteria infecting the lungs of chronic cystic fibrosis patients (Oliver et al. 2000).
* Predator-prey dynamics are altered in predictable ways by evolution of the prey (Yoshida et al. 2003).
* Ernst Mayr predicted in 1954 that speciation should be accompanied with faster genetic evolution. A phylogenetic analysis has supported this prediction (Webster et al. 2003).
* Several authors predicted characteristics of the ancestor of craniates. On the basis of a detailed study, they found the fossil Haikouella "fit these predictions closely" (Mallatt and Chen 2003).
* Evolution predicts that different sets of character data should still give the same phylogenetic trees. This has been confirmed informally myriad times and quantitatively, with different protein sequences, by Penny et al. (1982).
# Ingman, M., H. Kaessmann, S. Paaba and U. Gyllensten. 2000. Mitochondrial genome variation and the origin of modern humans. Nature 408: 708-713 . See also: Blair Hedges, S. 2000. A start for population genomics. Nature 408: 552-553. See also: Thomson, Jeremy, 2000 (7 Dec.). Humans did come out of Africa, says DNA. Nature Science Update, http://www.nature.com/nsu/001207/001207-8.html
# Mallatt, J. and J.-Y. Chen. 2003. Fossil sister group of craniates: Predicted and found. Journal of Morphology 258(1): 1-31.
# Oliver, Antonio et al. 2000. High frequency of hypermutable Pseudomonas aeruginosa in cystic fibrosis lung infection. Science 288: 1251-1253. See also Rainey, P. B. and R. Moxon. 2000. When being hyper keeps you fit. Science 288: 1186-1187. See also: LeClerc, J. E. and T. A. Cebula. 2000. Pseudomonas survival strategies in cystic fibrosis (letter), 2000. Science 289: 391-392.
# Penny, David, L. R. Foulds, and M. D. Hendy. 1982. Testing the theory of evolution by comparing phylogenetic trees constructed from five different protein sequences. Nature 297: 197-200.
# Webster, Andrea J., Robert J. H. Payne, and Mark Pagel. 2003. Molecular phylogenies link rates of evolution and speciation. Science 301: 478.
# Yoshida, T., L. E. Jones, S. P. Ellner, G. F. Fussmann and N. G. Hairston Jr. 2003. Rapid evolution drives ecological dynamics in a predator-prey system. Nature 424: 303-306.
Also it cannot be denied that evolution is an athiest philosophy. The majority of those scientists? who advocate evolution now and in the recent past are athiest.
Oh yeah? Source please? Or is this speculation based on your conviction?

Perhaps evolution could be called a pagan science since the Hebrews were apparently the only ancient people who believed in Divine Creation and that because of the revelation of Scripture. [/qb]
What's this? Other cultures didn't have creation stories now?
 

UTEOTW

New Member
Did your source dishonestly quote Gould? Here is your post.

http://www.baptistboard.com/ubb/ultimatebb.php/topic/66/19/9.html#000134

"Paleontologists [fossil experts] have paid an exorbitant price for Darwin's argument. We fancy ourselves as the only true students of life's history, yet to preserve our favored account of evolution by natural selection we view our data as so bad that we almost never see the very process we profess to study."—* Steven Jay Gould, The Panda's Thumb (1982), pp. 181-182.

And here is my response with the full quote.

http://www.baptistboard.com/ubb/ultimatebb.php/topic/66/19/10.html#000135

"Darwin's argument still persists as the favored escape of most paleontologists from the embarrassment of a record that seems to show so little of evolution [directly]. In exposing its cultural and methodological roots, I wish in no way to impugn the potential validity of gradualism (for all general views have similar roots). I only wish to point out that it is never "seen" in the rocks.

Paleontologists have paid an exorbitant price for Darwin's argument. We fancy ourselves as the only true students of life's history, yet to preserve our favored account of evolution by natural selection we view our data as so bad that we never see the very process we profess to study.

For several years, Niles Eldredge of the American Museum of Natural History and I have been advocating a resolution to this uncomfortable paradox. We believe that Huxley was right in his warning [1]. The modern theory of evolution does not require gradual change. In fact, the operation of Darwinian processes should yield exactly what we see in the fossil record."

Gould is so easy to quote out of context because he is an advocate of puncuated equilibrium. PE basically says that most change takes place in relatively small and isolated groups and over very short preiods of time. In setting up his theory, he often talks about the lack of species to species transitions in the fossil record and thus leaves himself open to quote mining such as was done in this case.

But, if you look at the last paragraph, it becomes obvious that Gould has no problem with either evolution or the fossil record. It is the idea of gradualism to which he rightly objects.

"Your above post is simply a rehash of that old discreted myth Ontogeny recapitulates phylogeny."

Nope.

"Ontogeny recapitulates phylogeny" is a rightly discredited theory that says that as an organism goes through is various stages of development that it steps through its evolutionary history. For example that a human has an initial form like a fish with gills then like a tadpole of an amphibian and so on.

This is not at all what I am saying. Perhaps another example is in order.

Let's look at pharyngeal pouches and branchial arches. Often YEers count this as an error and throw out Haeckel and mention something about an erroneous assertion about humans going through a development stage with gills like a fish. But this is actually a good example of shared development indicating common ancestry. In fish, the pharyngeal pouches do become the gills and the arches become the jaws in jawed fish. Now in mammals, these same structures become parts that evolved from the gills and jaws of fish. Namely parts such as the eustachian tube, middle ear, tonsils, parathyroid, and thymus. In fact, you can see some of these transitions right in the fossil record. Cases such as this are a small part of the evidence for common descent. There is not another compelling theory on why early devolopment should be so closely shared with the same structures giving rise to different tissues in different species in a way that matches how the structures are thought to have evolved.

And that is an example of how ontogeny has a valid use today in determining relationships among the species.

In the case of the whales, they go through a developmental stage with legs that is just like the developmental stage that other mammals go through. THis is evidence that they share a common origin for their developmental patterns. Afterall, most of the changes that you see separating various organisms from one another are differences that arise during the developmental stages, not later. The different structures are formed in different organisms by modification of the developmental process. Legs are a basic step in the development of all tetrapods. Whales lost their legs by modifying the developmental process such that the legs do not come to full maturation and are instead reabsorbed before the whale matures and is born.

"So where are the tests that demonstrate macro-evolution?"

I gave you a few examples. Surely you would agree that IF a group of land dwelling ungulates evolved into sea going mammals that this would be defined as more than micro-evolution. I gave you a limited example of predictions and tests that show that just this DID happen. There is no other way outside of common descent to account for the observations.

"Evolutionists approach scientific observations from the viewpoint of unlimited time and chance."

I ignored the statement because it is not true and I did not want too much longer of a post.

The universe is 13.7 billion years old. That, while a very long time, is not an unlimited length of time.

Evolution does not rely upon chance alone. Mutations are random but the various selection mechanisms are not random.

"It has been shown statistically that even using the age of the universe there is not enough time for the evolution of man to occur by chance."

Funny, I missed where that was proven. Can you document such proof?

"The long held concept of gradualism in evolution has been proven false. Therefore, some evolutionists have resorted to the concept of punctuated equilibrium, which is a product of no evidence for evolution, no transitional forms either in the fossil record or in the world today as I noted by question some days back."

Yes, for the most part, gradualism is not the primary measure of change. There are some series that show gradual change, but many more show jerky, uneven change.

But the rise of PE has not been based on what you say. There is profound evidence for evolution. Some general types of evidence for evolution include atavisms, molecular and anatomical vestiges, molecular and anatomical parahomology, the twin nested heirarchy, the agreement between independently produce phylogenies, the correct order of the fossils in the geologic record, past biogeography, present biogeography, ontogeny, shared retroviral inserts, shared pseudogenes and shared transposons.

Transitionals are also widely known. I gave a partial list of those known for the whales above. If you think back to the quote mining incident, I gave you a response that included a quote from a leading proponent of puncuated equilibrium that need to be repeated. "Since we proposed punctuated equilibria to explain trends, it is infuriating to be quoted again and again by creationists—whether through design or stupidity, I do not know—as admitting that the fossil record includes no transitional forms. Transitional forms are generally lacking at the species level, but they are abundant between larger groups." From Hen's Teeth and Horse's Toes.

"You still reject the implication of these remarks, perhaps because they hit too close home."

I have already explained why a reject his claims. I am curious why you would accept them.
 

OldRegular

Well-Known Member
You folks are still avoiding the question: Where are the tests, that is tests not evolutionist's imagination, that demonstrate macro-evolution?

All you are doing is spinning as Bill O'Reilly would say.

By the way UTEOTW the reason that geologists are abandoning the uniformitarian doctrine and recognizing a catastrophic history of the earth is that the fossile records are not always in the correct order as you state.

Everything you folks argue is based on pure speculation, the creative imagination of atheist evolutionists.
 

Gup20

Active Member
Evolution is based on observations, it makes testable predictions, it is falsifiable, and it does an excellent job of explaining wat we observe.
I don't see how that is possible considering the threory of evolution states that the dinosaurs went extinct MILLIONS of years before man even evolved. Therefore, according to evolution, there could have been NO OBSERVATION of dinosaurs. Strange then that scientists can talk about observations. Science is the observable and repeatable. You can neither observe, nor repeatedly observe animals that went extinct millions of years before the first man. All you can really do is look forensicly at their remains and make guesses based on known variables to approximate "what you think" might have happened. That's history, not science.

The Bible gives the true account of history.
 

npc

New Member
You folks are still avoiding the question: Where are the tests, that is tests not evolutionist's imagination, that demonstrate macro-evolution?
How is the ability to make an accurate prediction not a test of evolution? I don't think you bothered reading my post.

And where is your source for the "evolutionists are mostly atheists" comment? Or are you going to take it back?

Everything you folks argue is based on pure speculation, the creative imagination of atheist evolutionists.
You just love to hear yourself make those argumentum ad nauseums, don't you? Never mind the expectations of a rational debate! You're right and they don't apply to you!
 

npc

New Member
Thank you, Gup. I hope you will be a better debater than OldRegular.

Just because we can't see a live dinosaur doesn't mean we can't observe whether they lived long ago or not. Testing a fossil for its carbon isotopes is an observation. We can repeat the experiment by testing another fossil that we have reason to believe lived at the same time, or by testing the same fossil by another method such as looking at how deep in the earth the fossil was.

There are several ways in which evolution as a whole could be falsified. Talk.origins had this to say:
a static fossil record;
true chimeras, that is, organisms that combined parts from several different and diverse ineages (such as mermaids and centaurs);
a mechanism that would prevent mutations from accumulating;
observations of organisms being created.
 

OldRegular

Well-Known Member
In an earlier post I noted that evolution is an atheistic philosophy. The following debate which I have posted in its entirety to avoid the charge of taking quotes out of contex is repeated. I do not necessarily advise anyone to wade through the entire debate but do encourage you to read the remarks by Dr. Provine, in bold caps, near the end of the debate. [Figures referenced are not included.]


William B. Provine is the Charles A. Alexander Professor of Biological Sciences at Cornell University.


Phillip Johnson, J.D. (University of Chicago), is Professor of Law (emeritus) at the University of California at Berkeley, where he taught for 30 years.

Source:

http://www.arn.org/docs/orpages/or161/161main.htm

Access Research Network
Origins Research Archives

Volume 16, Number 1

Darwinism: Science or Naturalistic Philosophy?

A debate between William B. Provine and Phillip E. Johnson at Stanford University, April 30, 1994


Initial remarks by PHILLIP JOHNSON:

This is the fourth time that Will Provine and I have met in debate, the other three times being at Cornell University, two of them in front of his evolutionary biology class. So I feel qualified to say where we will tend to agree and disagree during this debate.

First, where we agree. The modern neo-Darwinian theory of evolution is fundamentally inconsistent with any meaningful theism -- with any meaningful God who acts as creator of the world. Now, of course, this isn't necessarily true of all theories of evolution, or of the concept of evolution broadly construed, because a creator could make use of a gradual, long-term process of making one thing out of another just as well as any other process. So there's nothing about the word "evolution" that rules out the creator.

But the modern neo-Darwinian theory of evolution, orthodox among today's scientists, insists that evolution is an unplanned, undirected process. It combines elements of chance and necessity or natural law, a combination of random genetic changes or mutations, which accumulate through natural selection. These are impersonal material forces reflecting no preexisting intelligence and no guidance. As the outcome of this process, human beings are essentially unplanned acts of nature.

Now it's evolution in that sense that we're talking about, and evolution as a comprehensive theory of the history of life: how we and other living things came into existence.

The implication of evolutionary biology in that sense is perhaps not exactly that God does not exist. If God does exist, however, existing is about the only thing He has ever done. God is permanently unemployed, if, in the entire history of life, impersonal material forces were capable of doing the whole job, and did do it. So if one attempts to hold a view of God as creator, it is a very attenuated view and one which tends to fade away into unreality.

Thus, a theistic picture of the world is fundamentally inconsistent with the manner of thinking that evolutionary biologists employ to reach their conclusions. Contemporary evolutionary biology, like much else in science, is based on the premise that nature is all there is. This is the premise of metaphysical naturalism. One assumes that at the beginning there was nothing but matter and mindless motion. It follows that impersonal, unintelligent, purposeless forces must have been capable of doing all the work of creation, because there wasn't anything else. Purpose and intelligence could not come into existence until they evolved through unintelligent and purposeless processes.

This way of thinking is said to generate reliable conclusions, which are labeled as "scientific knowledge." Evolution in this sense -- fully naturalistic evolution -- is said to be a fact. Now if that's the way to get to correct conclusions about reality, it would seem likely that the premises supporting the conclusions are true.

Notice the structure of the reasoning. One assumes that no creator was around at the beginning, so material forces had to do everything -- and, it's concluded, mutation and selection did the job. Looking at these conclusions, some people then turn around and baptize the naturalistic account as God's way of creating. Such persons are not thinking logically. They put in at the end of the process what was removed at the beginning.

On the other hand, if we start with the assumption that a Creator exists who might have employed a process of evolution, natural or otherwise, or who might have done something else, then we do not start with any certainty that natural forces alone are sufficient to explain the origin and enormous diversity of life. In short, the person I'll call the "theistic realist" wants to know: Is what you are telling me true? That person will not be satisfied to be told, "Well, the neo-Darwinian story is the best naturalistic story we can tell, and therefore it is science." That's not good enough. We should rather be asking if naturalistic evolution is true at all. Let me give you an example, taken from the exhibit Life Through Time: A Case For Evolution (at the California Academy of Sciences Museum in San Francisco), where that question makes a real difference The centerpiece of Life Through Time is the Hard Facts Wall. The wall represents the Cambrian Explosion, the sudden appearance of the animal phyla -- the major divisions of animal life -- in the rocks of the Cambrian era some 550 million years ago, give or take. The Cambrian explosion is one of the great mysteries in the history of life. Richard Dawkins, the complete Darwinist propagandist, says that the phyla are planted there in the rocks as if they had no history at all.

Figure 1 is a diagrammatic representation of the wall. The fossils representing the phyla all lie on parallel lines. These lines, however, are connected by lines with no fossils of their own -- and each connecting point is marked by a magnifying glass.


Figure 1. Selected Data Applied to Framework.

What's the significance of the magnifying glasses? Well, in other parts of the exhibit, magnifying glasses are used to enlarge little fossils -- things that one would have a hard time seeing without the glasses. The implication here is that if you strain your eyes hard enough and look through those glasses, you would see the common ancestors which connect these otherwise disparate phyla.

But there's nothing underneath the magnifying glasses. There is no evidence from the fossils of a pattern of common ancestors and intermediates connecting them. If neo-Darwinism were true, somewhere there should be a universe of transitional intermediates, as Darwin said there had to be. Where is it?

Figure 1 is an empirical plot of the stratigraphic distribution of the fossils, showing the parallel lines of the phyla. Notice what the museum exhibit does with these data. The lines are connected one to another, and the magnifying glasses are placed where the common ancestors should be. The casual museum-goer (I've tested this many times) doesn't see the difference between the parallel lines which represent the evidence, and the connecting lines which represent the theory, or the imagination of the theorist. The exhibit looks as if the common ancestors are really there.

But more than that has been done. Look again at Figure 2.


Figure 2. Life Through Time: Evidence for Sudden Appearance and Stasis.

The geological dates don't make any sense. The earliest vertebrate occurs at 450 mya, but on the left-hand side of the figure the earliest coral occurs at 440 mya -- well below in the strata! In terms of the empirical evidence, it makes no sense to alter the time scale that way, but you can see why it's done. The data are tailored to fit the theory.

I wouldn't object if the museum-goer were warned about what is fact, what is theory, and what is speculation. Nothing, however, distinguishes the theory from the evidence.

The actual evidence looks something like this: all of the basic groups arrive at the same time, and, with a certain amount of variation and change within their preexisting boundaries, persist until the present. That's a picture of evolution, of a sort, within certain boundaries. But look at what is predicted by the Darwinian picture. As Stephen Jay Gould describes it, in his fine book Wonderful Life, we expect a cone of increasing diversity, where one form branches off into others, the whole range of diversity becoming greater and greater as one goes along. In Figure 1, however, we see the diversity present all at the beginning, with variation within those limits.

Darwinists may be able to accommodate their theory to this evidence. Obviously that would be a long and detailed argument. What I am showing you is that people who are committed to the theory in advance lose sight of the difference between theory and the facts. Hence, they present as indubitable something which is in reality very dubitable, the claim that there was a step-by-step gradual process of natural selection which produced, from much simpler predecessors, the amazingly diverse basic groups of the Cambrian explosion.

It's not just diversity that has to be explained. It's complexity. We have to explain how new genetic information came into the world in order to make complex plants and animals out of single-celled predecessors. Where's the evidence that this happened? Of course, if one is a metaphysical naturalist, starting from the assumption that nature had to do its own creating, then something very much like neo-Darwinian evolution just has to be true as a matter of one's basic assumptions. There can be argument about the details -- the relative role of chance and natural selection could be at issue, as it is between the neutral theory of molecular evolution and the selectionist alternatives -- but the basic picture just has to be true. One has to explain everything on the basis of a combination of chance events and some natural law that provides the designing force -- something like mutation and selection.

So a metaphysical naturalist can tend to be very uncritical where neo-Darwinism is concerned. Let me give you another example of this, from the autobiography of Francis Crick. Crick is one of the most famous molecular biologists in the world, co-discoverer of DNA, and a passionately atheistic materialist and neo-Darwinist. Crick strongly recommends a book by Richard Dawkins called The Blind Watchmaker, which presents the modern argument for the Darwinian mechanism of mutation and selection. Here is what Crick says:

If you doubt the power of natural selection, I urge you for the sake of your soul to read Dawkins's book. I think you will find it a revelation. Dawkins gives a nice argument to show how far the process of evolution can go in the time available to it. He points out that man, by selection, has produced an enormous amount of types of dogs such as Pekingese, bulldogs, and so on, in the space of only a few thousand years. Here man is the important factor in the environment, and it is his peculiar tastes that have produced, by selective breeding, not by design, the freaks of nature we see preserved all around us as domestic dogs. Yet the time required to do this on an evolutionary scale of hundreds of millions of years is extraordinarily short, so we should not be surprised at the ever greater variety of creatures that natural selection has produced on this much larger timescale.

Now that's typical Darwinian reasoning. Selective breeding proves that small-scale change can lead to macro-change, i.e., to new forms of life and new complex organs. All that's needed is enough time.

Yet a child should be able to see that the example is quite beside the point. It's quite beside the point because selective breeding is a purposeful process in which a human breeder pursues a distant goal with skill and persistence. Yet the crucial claim of Darwinian evolution is that unguided processes can do the work of creation. The analogy fails because the processes being described are fundamentally different. Moreover, as is well known, even with all the power of human intelligence and purpose, breeders are able to produce change only within boundaries. Even those dogs are all members of a single biological species. Dogs don't get bigger and bigger indefinitely -- as big as elephants or whales -- much less change into elephants or whales, and the reason is not that there is not enough time. Rather, the genetic variability gives out.

Why have scientists of Crick's caliber overlooked these points? Answer: when you are proving something that just has to be true anyway, almost any evidence will do. For instance, evolutionary biologists trumpeted the minor results of the peppered moth observations around the world. As you know, experiments show that when trees were dark in the Midlands of England, dark moths in a population tended to survive more frequently than light moths, so the percentage of dark moths in the population went up for awhile until the trees became lighter again, and then light moths predominated. These shifting frequencies within a population, in which there were dark and light moths all along, have nothing to do with showing how you can produce moths and trees and birds and scientific observers in the first place. And yet this extremely modest evidence that natural selection produced something was so thrilling to the Darwinian world that it became one of the most famous scientific observations of all time.

What's going on here? Well, frankly, what's going on here is a cultural conflict. Evolutionary science has become a weapon in a cultural war. Countless public television programs, textbooks, and popular treatments foster the illusion that the tools of empirical science have shown the naturalistic worldview to be true.

But that isn't the case at all. The naturalistic worldview was assumed at the beginning. And an extremely lenient standard of evaluating the evidence has been employed, by which one can credit a marvelous creativity to mutation and selection that no one has ever seen, that no one ever will see, and that has not been recorded in the fossil record. That's metaphysics, not empirical science, from the standpoint of one who doesn't take metaphysics for granted.

What's happened is that neo-Darwinian theory -- a theory that is perfectly valid for certain small-scale changes -- has been enlisted in the service of naturalistic philosophy. Minor changes, however, the stuff of neo-Darwinian observation, do not produce new kinds of organisms, and, above all, do not add to the genetic information, which should be the real subject of biological evolution. These problems have been recognized all along by farsighted people in the scientific community, people like Pierre Grassé, the preeminent French zoologist of our time, Richard Goldschmidt, the Berkeley geneticist, even people like Stephen Jay Gould, my sometimes adversary, who perhaps feels somewhat embarrassed that his own attacks on every element of the neo-Darwinian scheme have been quoted to discredit it.

These scientists understand that a theory which is valid only at the small scale has been recklessly extrapolated into a general theory of creation, in order to fill the explanatory gap that would otherwise exist. The theory has to be extrapolated. Otherwise we wouldn't have a theory at all.

This isn't a secret. As the theoretical biologist Stuart Kauffman says, for example, in the introduction to his book The Origins of Order, neo-Darwinism has fractures at its foundations, and needs to be replaced or supplemented. It's never quite clear by what -- some new theory based on computer models, or self-organizing systems that may or may not exist in nature.

Once again I am not here to tell you that there is nothing valid in these theories or research programs. But prominent members of the scientific community recognize a crisis. Year after year, people have come forward hoping to find the answer, hoping to find the new and general theory of evolution Stephen Jay Gould said was emerging to fill the gap left by what he called the "effectively dead" neo-Darwinian synthesis.

But no new adequate naturalistic explanation has emerged, and so Gould himself has to scurry back and protect the neo-Darwinian synthesis because there is no alternative. There would be a cultural earthquake if the scientific community had to admit a mistake, and had to acknowledge that they really don't know the answers to questions they have confidently told the public they did know the answers to.

It is possible to recognize this, however, and to debate it in an academic forum. I hope we are going to be doing a lot more of that in the near future. Biologists cannot be allowed to tell the creation story of our culture without dissent from the rest of us.


Initial remarks by WILLIAM PROVINE:

Did you notice that Phil had nothing to say about his mechanisms of evolution?

I think it's wonderful that we are having a debate of this sort. It's really good for Stanford, and good for people to get these views out in the open. Phil is definitely a friend of mine, and that's something you need to understand. We get up here, argue like everything, and then have dinner and a beer together afterwards.

But, having said that, let's look again at Phil's views. Phil is a born-again Christian. He believes that God exists, that God created life, and, apparently, successively created the major forms of life. God's design is apparent in the adaptations of animals and plants. God created humans separately because humans and chimpanzees do not share a common ancestor. God gives us life after death, and God gives us an absolute foundation for ethics. God gives us ultimate meaning for life, God gives humans free will, and thus, the possibility of genuine understanding and responsibility.

When it comes to the important questions, Phil has a very clear maxim, which is maximize your leaps of faith. Get them as big as you possibly can. Will has a maxim too: minimize your leaps of faith. That way you can actually live in a natural world.

It's strange. When Charles Darwin was a young man, he believed all the things that Phil believes now, with the exception of being born again. What could have caused a smart fellow like Charles Darwin -- and by the way, I don't claim that Darwin was all that smart; I believe that Phil Johnson is much smarter than Darwin, who, had he gone to Harvard, would have graduated near the bottom of his class -- to have changed his views? But he did change his mind, and we're going to have to figure out why.

He had a number of very direct reasons. First, morphological similarity among organisms suggested shared descent. Just plain morphological similarities. Secondly, living species are similar to recent related fossils. Now this is an issue that Phil does not work on very much. Indeed, the recent fossil record is quite good, and we can look in the fossil record and can see relatives of clearly different species that exist in the fossil record, and are closely related, however, to living species. Darwin saw this when he was on the voyage of the Beagle, different species occupying the same ecological niches in different but connected geological areas. As Darwin went down the east coast of South America, up the other coast, and around the world, he noticed that in similar ecological niches there were related but different species. Finally, of course, there was the similarity of island species to related species on nearby mainlands.

Darwin invented natural selection only after he had come up with the idea of evolution by des-cent, and that occurred only after the voyage of the Beagle. He believed that inventing the idea of natural selection was like committing murder. He knew exactly what he was doing. He was murdering the cultural tradition in which he had been raised, and in which Phil continues to live (rather belatedly).

How about natural selection and selection under domestication? Phil really whangs on poor Darwin for this one, but Darwin observed, for example, more than five hundred varieties of domestic pigeons, from pouters to giant homers. If you know pigeons at all, pouters are really different from giant homers. He realized that natural selection could produce even greater change operating on the same available heritable variation. For Darwin, and for his readers who took the idea seriously, natural selection undermined the argument from design. If you accept the argument of natural selection, then of course you cannot see intelligent design even in butterflies, or apes, or pandas, or whatever the pandas eat. Darwin gradually came to understand that the implications of his conception of evolution were profound. While difficult for him to accept, the implications were finally impossible for him to reject. Let's see what they are.

First, the argument from design failed. There is no intelligent design in the natural world. When mammals die, they are really and truly dead. No ultimate foundations for ethics exist, no ultimate meaning in life exists, and free will is merely a human myth. These are all conclusions to which Darwin came quite clearly. Modern evolutionary biology not only supports Darwin's belief in evolution by descent, and his belief in natural selection, but all of the implications that Darwin saw in evolution have been strongly supported by modern evolutionary biology.

Modern evolutionary biology has a great deal more evidence for evolution by descent than Darwin had. For example, we now have a lot of molecular evidence for descent. When we sequence DNA, and look at the differences between two apparently related but different organisms, we can see to what extent they share DNA. When you do this for humans and chimpanzees, by a variety of different techniques, and by using different parts of the genome, you can see that they share some ninety-nine percent of their genomes.

And domestic breeding has had tremendous success in the twentieth century. Observations of natural selection in the wild have been carried out in large part since 1950, but they occupy a good part of evolutionary biology today. Plate tectonics has shown us a lot about the movement of plates on the earth's surface, but it also has helped us to understand the geographical distribution of animals and plants, both living and fossil, and the correlation between what we understand of plate movement and what we can see of both fossil and living forms.

This is very strong evidence for evolution by shared descent. We know a great deal more now about fossil formation, which basically supports most of what Darwin believed, and we have a great deal more fossil evidence.

I will have to introduce Phil's bull at this point. I really appreciate Phil's general point of view. I used to share it myself -- Phil is a Presbyterian, and I used to be one -- and I'll say something more about that in just a few minutes.

OK, this is Phil's bull. Now I'm not going to make that bull appear again, unless Phil says something that is bull. Bye-bye, bull. We'll see you later, if we need you.

Let's look at Phil on artificial and natural selection. He just told you that artificial selection has definite limits on the amount of variation of even the most highly skilled breeders can achieve. Dogs do not change into elephants because dogs do not have the genetic capacity for that degree of change, and they stop getting bigger when the limit is reached. I suppose the limit is reached now. Well, let's see. Phil, there's the bull!

Let's see how far artificial selection can go. Breeders do, in fact, run out of heritable variations from time to time, but recombination and mutation mean that the limits that Phil claims simply don't exist. Let's look at some of the evidence for this, from long continued selection experiments. The oil and protein content of corn have been going up since the turn of the century. No limits have been reached: both protein and oil are still going right ahead.

What about chickens? I grew up on a chicken farm. Chickens are getting more and more diverse. They are laying more and more eggs now than when I was a kid. The ratio of fat content to lean in hogs, coat colors in fancy mice -- just go to an animal or plant breeding book, and you'll find lots of examples. Take the example of dogs. We can get Chihuahuas and St. Bernards out of wild wolves in just a few thousand years. But Phil wants us to believe that we can't go any farther. Sure, we can go farther than that. We can make dogs the size of rats and buffalo. It wouldn't even take a few million years. I suspect it would only take a few tens of thousands of years. Not only that, they would be what we call "species" -- different species indeed.

Where did Phil get the information that artificial selection just comes to an end, that there are limits to the size to which dogs can be selected to be? I don't know how he knows what the limits are. Animal and plant breeders certainly have not found them.

Next to Phil on natural selection. Hey, he believes in evolution! He even tells you. He'll give you Hawaiian Drosophila as a case of evolution by naturalistic causes. He says there is no reason for believing that natural selection can produce new species, new organs, or other major changes or even minor changes that are pertinent. So let's look at Hawaiian Drosophila. The older and newer species of Hawaiian Drosophila differ in major morphology, head shape and size, internal organs. They most certainly deserve to be called different species. More than twenty million generations separate some of these, and when you do DNA-DNA hybridization, or you sequence genomes and compare them, the genetic distances are quite large.

So you've got a problem. You admit that the differences between Hawaiian Drosophila species have evolved by natural means. You deny that humans and chimpanzees share common ancestors. But the fact is that the morphological and genetic differences between old and new Hawaiian Drosophilas is far greater than the differences between humans and chimps. So what should you do, Phil? In the future you've got to argue that God created different species of Hawaiian Drosophila -- otherwise you are going to be inconsistent.

Evolution of highly adapted things is really tough, and Phil says that you can't get the evolution of a wing for the following reason. Limbs evolving into wings would probably be awkward for climbing or grasping long before they became very useful for gliding, thus placing the hypothetical intermediate creature at a serious disadvantage. I have a feeling that the bull is coming! Bull!

There are organisms that glide, and they don't lose the ability of their limbs to climb or to jump. A lot of flying squirrels -- we raise a great number of them -- fly like crazy, they can also jump and grasp onto trees very well. Incidentally, these species separated from the regular gray tree squirrel about thirty-five million years ago. So when creationists tell me that a flying squirrel is one of God's kind that belongs to the squirrels, I return by saying, "Gosh! You know humans and chimpanzees share a common ancestor five to seven million years ago, and these squirrels that you say are all one of God's kind shared a common ancestor about thirty-five million years ago!"

Consider extinction and natural selection. When thinking about adaptations being the work of intelligent design, we should ask: are these the very same adaptations which virtually guarantee extinction when the environment changes enough? If you go back only sixty-five to seventy million years ago, to the end of the Cretaceous, the general estimate is that there were about fifty thousand species of vertebrates. Of those, fewer than twenty give rise to the some one hundred thousand species of vertebrates that exist now. All the rest went extinct.

ON THE THEORY OF INTELLIGENTLY DESIGNED ADAPTATIONS, THE INTELLIGENT DESIGNER CLEARLY IS VERY SHORT-SIGHTED INDEED. VIRTUALLY ALL OF HIS CREATIONS ARE EXTINCT. ALL THE SPECIES ON EARTH ARE GOING TO BE GONE IN ONE BILLION YEARS, AND THE SAD THING ABOUT THAT IS THAT LIFE HAS BEEN AROUND FOR THREE AND ONE-HALF BILLION YEARS ALREADY, SO IT'S ONLY GOT A RELATIVELY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. PHIL AND I HAVE ALREADY LIVED MORE THAN HALF OF OUR LIVES. LIFE ON EARTH FACES THE SAME DISMAL PROSPECT.

WHEN YOU DIE, YOU'RE NOT GOING TO BE SURPRISED, BECAUSE YOU'RE GOING TO BE COMPLETELY DEAD. NOW IF FIND MYSELF AWARE AFTER I'M DEAD, I'M GOING TO BE REALLY SURPRISED! BUT AT LEAST I'M GOING TO GO TO HELL, WHERE I WON'T HAVE ALL OF THOSE GRINNING PREACHERS FROM SUNDAY MORNING LISTENING.

LET ME SUMMARIZE MY VIEWS ON WHAT MODERN EVOLUTIONARY BIOLOGY TELLS US LOUD AND CLEAR -- AND THESE ARE BASICALLY DARWIN'S VIEWS. THERE ARE NO GODS, NO PURPOSES, AND NO GOAL-DIRECTED FORCES OF ANY KIND. THERE IS NO LIFE AFTER DEATH. WHEN I DIE, I AM ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN THAT I AM GOING TO BE DEAD. THAT'S THE END OF ME. THERE IS NO ULTIMATE FOUNDATION FOR ETHICS, NO ULTIMATE MEANING IN LIFE, AND NO FREE WILL FOR HUMANS, EITHER. WHAT AN UNINTELLIGIBLE IDEA.

CHRISTIAN HUMANISM HAS A GREAT DEAL GOING FOR IT. IT'S WARM AND KINDLY IN MANY WAYS. THAT'S THE GOOD PART. THE BAD PART IS THAT YOU HAVE TO SUSPEND YOUR RATIONAL MIND. THAT PART IS REALLY NASTY. ATHEISTIC HUMANISM HAS THE ADVANTAGE OF FITTING NATURAL MINDS TRYING TO UNDERSTAND THE WORLD, BUT THE DISADVANTAGE OF VERY LITTLE CULTURAL HERITAGE -- AND THAT'S A REAL PROBLEM.

SO THE QUESTION IS, CAN ATHEISTIC HUMANISM OFFER US VERY MUCH? SURE. IT CAN GIVE YOU INTELLECTUAL SATISFACTION. I'M A HECK OF A LOT MORE INTELLECTUALLY SATISFIED NOW THAT I DON'T HAVE TO CLING TO THE FAIRY TALE THAT I BELIEVED WHEN I WAS A KID. LIFE MAY HAVE NO ULTIMATE MEANING, BUT I SURE THINK IT CAN HAVE LOTS OF PROXIMATE MEANING. FREE WILL IS NOT HARD TO GIVE UP, BECAUSE IT'S A HORRIBLY DESTRUCTIVE IDEA TO OUR SOCIETY. FREE WILL IS WHAT WE USE AS AN EXCUSE TO TREAT PEOPLE LIKE PIECES OF CRAP WHEN THEY DO SOMETHING WRONG IN OUR SOCIETY. WE SAY TO THE PERSON, "YOU DID SOMETHING WRONG OUT OF YOUR FREE WILL, AND THEREFORE WE HAVE THE JUSTIFICATION FOR REVENGE ALL OVER YOUR BEHIND." WE PUT PEOPLE IN PRISON, TURNING THEM INTO LOUSIER INDIVIDUALS THAN THEY EVER WERE. THIS HORRIBLE SYSTEM IS BASED UPON THIS IDEA OF FREE WILL.

SINCE WE KNOW THAT WE ARE NOT GOING TO LIVE AFTER WE DIE, THERE IS NO REWARD FOR SUFFERING IN THIS WORLD. YOU LIVE AND YOU DIE. I'VE SEEN BUMPER STICKERS (VERY SEXIST ONES, ACTUALLY) THAT SAY "LIFE'S A BITCH, AND THEN YOU DIE." WELL, WHATEVER LIFE IS, YOU'RE GOING TO DIE. SO IF YOU'RE GOING TO MAKE THINGS BETTER FOR YOURSELF OR FOR THOSE YOU CARE ABOUT, YOU HAD BETTER BECOME AN ACTIVIST WHILE YOU'RE STILL ALIVE.



Finally, there is no reason whatsoever that ethics can't be robust, even if there is no ultimate foundations for ethics. If you're an atheist and know you're going to die, what really counts if friendship -- and that's why I value Phil's friendship so much.

MODERATOR:

Now we turn to the rebuttal. Professor Johnson will begin.

Rebuttal by PHILLIP JOHNSON:

Will was kind enough to say flattering things about my intelligence, so I want to be sure and return the compliment. Will Provine has one of the great minds of the nineteenth century. What you have just heard is the mechanistic, atheistic village rationalism which says if we can just understand that we are simply mindless machines which need fixing -- and if we stop treating people as independent human agents created by God -- then we can solve all of our problems. We'll have this "scientific" approach.

I used to be an atheist. Charles Darwin used to be a theist, of a kind. He was, perhaps, a weak deist. But I was an agnostic, and when people ask me why I'm not an agnostic anymore, I say that I could not manage the leaps of faith that were required.

One of the necessary leaps of faith holds that single-celled creatures have the capacity, by a combination of random changes and natural selection, to turn into complex plants and animals, even though there isn't any evidence for this. You have to believe that the fossil record is totally misleading, and that a theory that contradicts it in every way is reliable. After hearing Will's theory about how Darwinian theory explains extinctions, I want to bring out that bull myself. In fact, extinction is one of the many ways in which Darwinian theories have been thoroughly discredited. In his recent book on extinction, Professor David Raup of the University of Chicago points out that it is only Darwinian theory and its prejudice that made biologists and fossil experts pursue for so long the illusion that things gradually become extinct because they are supplanted by better adapted descendants. Rather, there has been a return to catastrophism in extinctions, which is totally contrary to the uniformitarian predictions and predilections of Darwinism.

I want to get to a more fundamental, important level. Will, you may have noticed, talked a lot about variation. That is the Darwinian way of explanation. We get little changes, and little changes could conceivably become big changes (even if they're not recorded that way in the fossil record), and so what is to prevent little changes from adding up into big changes?

It's not so much that this is the wrong answer. It's the wrong way of looking at the problem. That is, it's the wrong question. The important thing about organisms is the information that they contain, encoding complex interrelated mechanisms that all have to exist and operate together in an extremely complicated way.

You couldn't make a computer program by sending random jolts of electricity through a magnetic field, even though computer programs, and computers, employ electricity and magnetism. Analogously, when we come to explain the origin of organisms, we don't really need to know how they vary or function once they exist, but rather how the very genetic information making the organism possible itself came to be. This is the problem that has been systematically ignored by Darwinian biology, although it's beginning to come into prominence now with the work of the complexity theorists.

When you understand that the problem is the original information -- the foundational complexity -- then you realize that research such as, for example, the growth of molecular evolution studies, is very anti-Darwinian. It's true that by comparing molecular sequences you can make what are called molecular phylogenies. Exactly what those phylogenies mean is very much in dispute, because they are often different for different molecules, and the data are very heavily and carefully interpreted -- but some patterns of relationship exist.

What the molecular studies also show us, however, is that the complexity which we have always seen at the visible level in organisms is replicated at the molecular level. We see deep new levels of complexity, so that even the simplest form of vision, for example, requires a vast network of complicated molecular components that all have to work together to set it in motion.

No effort is being made to solve these problems. In practice, molecular evolution studies chart molecular relationships. They do not explain how the complex varieties of molecular systems first came about. And the problem just gets more and more difficult all the time.

Will talked about recent fossils and how things are related. Yes, you can make a pattern of relationships, and say that some things are more like certain things than like others. But where are the patterns of ancestors and ancestral descent? Where is the step-by-step progression from one thing to another, especially in the big divisions, the phyla of the Hard Facts Wall? Where it ought to exist that pattern is totally absent.

Neo-Darwinism is a really a theory of variation within types which already exist. That modest theory is extrapolated, however, into a general account of biological creation and innovation. This is not a criticism which I have invented out of some religious bias. The most sophisticated Darwinists have seen it all along. It's what Stephen Jay Gould said when he wrote in 1980 that the synthesis as a theory is generally dead, despite its prevalent textbook orthodoxy.

Neo-Darwinism doesn't fit the evidence. Evolutionary change doesn't seem to occur in that way. The evidence that mutations of a complexity-building type arrived regularly and in great quantity, on schedule, to build new complex organs, just isn't there. That's why the stories of wing evolution and so on are called, derisively, "just-so" stories. They are naturalistic fables in scientific language, but without the scientific backing to show that they really happened.

Again, my goal in a talk like this isn't convincing people in the audience who may be convinced of the opposing view to change their minds overnight. I don't think that's how people are persuaded. What I want to convince you of is this. Those who doubt the truths of Darwinian evolution, who doubt that the accumulation of micro-mutations through natural selection builds complex plants and animals from single-celled predecessors, who doubt that anybody knows how the specific human qualities of consciousness and intelligent purpose have arisen -- these are people who doubt for scientific reasons based on the evidence.

What has been going on for the past century or so is a steamroller. You get the tone of the steamroller in the way that Will argues, friendly though he is. The purpose is to overwhelm dissent. And I want you to understand that that won't work anymore. As some of the most farsighted people in the field have grasped, the problems aren't going away. If anything, they've grown worse. We're going to have to come to grips with this, and I believe that as soon as we can get the debate open in the universities, and out on the table, the kind of evolution that Will Provine is preaching is going to collapse. Not because people like me are going to do it, but because the scientists themselves will see that they can't go on with it. Over to you.

Rebuttal by WILLIAM PROVINE:

Phil argues that evolutionary biology is in a crisis. There is no crisis whatsoever in the field of evolutionary biology with regard to the question of evolution by descent. Evolution by descent is agreed upon everywhere, among both biologists in general and certainly by evolutionary biologists in particular. You simply see no dissent there whatsoever.

But Phil conflates evolution by descent with the mechanisms of the evolutionary process. Darwin believed they were separable issues. I believe they are quite separable as well. There is very strong evidence indeed for evolution by descent. This does not mean that there is a complete fossil record. But what we can look at is the evidence we do have, and make the very reasonable conclusion that the entire process was evolution by descent, leaving aside whether it's purposeless or guided by God.

The question comes down to naturalism versus supernaturalism. I started from supernaturalism. I studied modern science, and that's what turned me into a naturalist. It's not as if I didn't fully consider the problem of supernaturalism. I clung to supernaturalism because I wanted it to be true. But in studying evolutionary biology, I found I simply couldn't hold to my belief because the evidences for naturalism were too great.

So, for me, the size of the leap of faith that is required to believe in naturalism is small. Phil tells you it's very large indeed. I guess for him it's only a small leap of faith to believe in a benevolent God who answers prayers, and who gives us all these other things. And that's just a little leap of faith! To me that's a giant leap of faith compared with believing in naturalism.

I would like to hear from this audience, on the count of three, how many of you believe all animals and plants were created by God within the last ten thousand years. All right, now from those who believe evolution occurred over very long time periods, but God guided this process. It seems, from the show of hands, that evolutionary theists are few and far between. Lastly, who in this audience believes that evolution occurred over three and one- half billion years ago by totally natural processes? The young earth creationists win that poll.

I thought I would discuss Phil's views on mechanisms of evolution, but unfortunately he said not one word about it, and if you ask him questions about it, that's exactly what you'll get in response: blank, blank, blank.

I thought Phil's critique of the California Science Museum exhibit was terrific. Only he just didn't go far enough, because many of those exhibits are much worse than he knows. I went through the one at the Royal Ontario Museum and that showed the mollusks evolving only once, and the exhibit showed a bunch of modern mollusks. Well, the mollusk expert I know the best, Arthur J. King from the University of Liverpool, claims that he's got abundant morphological evidence showing that mollusks have evolved independently at least five times around the world. So the exhibit was horrible. Shall we conclude that, because the museum exhibits are poor, evolution has not occurred? I don't think that follows.

Phil also argues that we cannot conceive of a natural process that can produce both diversity and adaptations. It seems to be clear that, indeed, natural selection can account for adaptations because Phil believes the Hawaiian Drosophila evolved through naturalistic processes. In those seven-hundred some odd species of Drosophila there are some of the most exquisite adaptations you would ever lay your eyes upon or understand. Indeed, they are jammed with adaptations. And so Phil obviously believes that natural selection can produce exquisite adaptations. The question is only whether it can do so over long periods of time. It seems to me that it's a leap of faith to believe that natural selection can, but it's a little bitty leap.

I even have faith that it's going to get light tomorrow morning. That is nothing but pure faith, but it's a little, bitty leap of faith. We have to keep in mind the sizes of leaps of faith.

Phil says that the evolutionists are uncritical. But Phil's view leads, I suppose -- he doesn't talk about it very much -- to the argument that God created the major adaptations in animals and plants. Now, how uncritical is that? A God comes down here to earth every once in a while, makes a few species of this and a few species of that -- and makes humans independently of any shared common ancestor with chimpanzees. Notice that he doesn't talk about that in his rebuttal. Maybe some of you would like to ask him that question.

As far as artificial selection is concerned, the point is that artificial selection is effective, not that it's purposeless. Over long periods of time, natural selection is sure to be more powerful than artificial selection, because it can "see" more of the organism that we ever could.

Evolutionary science is a weapon in a cultural war? I didn't know I was at war! Are we at war, Phil? That's all folks, and thank you.
 

npc

New Member
Whoopee, another atheist evolutionist. I am asking about the part where you claimed that most evolutionists are atheists. Source or retraction, please.
 

OldRegular

Well-Known Member
Originally posted by npc:
Whoopee, another atheist evolutionist. I am asking about the part where you claimed that most evolutionists are atheists. Source or retraction, please.
I am not in the polling business. If you can you do the polling and prove me incorrect?

Also you are avoiding the question: Where are the tests, that is tests not evolutionist's imagination, that demonstrate macro-evolution?
 

OldRegular

Well-Known Member
Originally posted by npc:
Whoopee, another atheist evolutionist. I am asking about the part where you claimed that most evolutionists are atheists. Source or retraction, please.
Whoopee

Just where did I state that most evolutionists are atheists?

I simply stated the following:

There is one indisputable fact. Evolution is an atheistic philosophy, it is not science. [posted June 09, 2005 08:45 PM]

I also stated: The majority of those scientists? who advocate evolution now and in the recent past are atheist.
 

UTEOTW

New Member
Also you are avoiding the question: Was the quote of Gould's, the very first one in your list, dishonestly taken out of context?

"Also you are avoiding the question: Where are the tests, that is tests not evolutionist's imagination, that demonstrate macro-evolution?"

Let's stick with one subject. I choose whales. This will allow us to see how this predictive thing works.

If you look at living whales, let's discuss some of the observations you can make. First of all they are mammals. Mammals are generally land dwelling. Whales go through a developmental stage in which they have legs and feet which are reabsorbed before birth. This might indicate their ancestors once had legs. Sometimes whales are born with fully formed atavistic legs. Since this means that they have dormant genes for making legs which can accidentally be turned on, this is even stronger support for their being whales with legs in the past. Whales also have a set of dozens of genes for making a sense of smell. The thing is, most of these genes are identical to those that land animals use for their sense of smell. Furthermore, these genes have been deactivated.

All these things together allows one to predict that there is likely to have been land dwelling animals in the past that evolved into whales. This is a prediction and it is testable.

By exploring the fossil record we have been able to test the prediction and theory that whales have land dwelling ancestors. Some of the whale transitionals that have been found include Pakicetus, Ambulocetus, Dalanistes, Rodhocetus, Tackrecetus, Indocetus, Gaviocetus, Durodon, and Basilosaurus. Thus the prediction that we should find such ancestors has been tested and found to be true.

Now if you trace the whale fossils all the way back to their land dwelling ancestor you find a curious thing. There is a group of animals called even-toed ungulates (Ungulates are those animals with hooves and even-toed just means that this group has an even number of hooves per foot.) THis group is more properly called artiodactyls. They include animals like pigs, hippos, camels, llamas, giraffes, deer, goats, sheep, cattle, and antelopes. This group of animals also can trace their ancestry back to the same basic type of ancestor as the whales. Whales ARE artiodactyls!

Now, from this fossil finding, you can make the prediction that genetic testing should show that whales are more closely related to the artiodactyls than they are to any other animals. Again, testing confirms this prediction. (This also becomes one of my favorites. YEers often dismiss genetic similarities by saying that similar animals would be expected to have similar DNA in their paradigm also. No one is going to confuse Flipper with Bullwinkle but their DNA is very similar.)

These are but one small example of the types of predictions that biologists can make and test. Furthermore, there is no logical explanation for these things outside of common descent!
"By the way UTEOTW the reason that geologists are abandoning the uniformitarian doctrine and recognizing a catastrophic history of the earth is that the fossile records are not always in the correct order as you state"

Quoting from http://www.mala.bc.ca/~johnstoi/darwin/sect2.htm "Nevertheless, by mid-century, on the eve of the publication of The Origin of Species (1859) the modified catastrophist view generally was the more favoured of the two theories." The strictly gradual version of geology had been abandoned by the publication or Origin of the Species, so why do you think they are just now getting around to it?

You should also read the following.

Benton, M. J., and Hitchin, R. (1997) "Congruence between phylogenetic and stratigraphic data on the history of life." Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B. 264: 885-890.

"Here we show that new assessment methods, in which the order of fossils in the rocks (stratigraphy) is compared with the order inherent in evolutionary trees (phylogeny), provide a more convincing analytical tool: stratigraphy and phylogeny offer independent data on history. Assessments of congruence between stratigraphy and phylogeny for a sample of 1,000 published phylogenies show no evidence of diminution of quality backwards in time."

Clyde, W. C., and Fisher, D. C. (1997) "Compaing the fit of stratigraphic and morphologic data in phylogenetic analysis." Paleobiology 23: 1-19.

Hitchin, R., and Benton, M. J. (1997) "Congruence between parsimony and stratigraphy: comparisons of three indices." Paleobiology 23: 20-32.

Huelsenbeck, J. P. (1994) "Comparing the stratigraphic record to estimates of phylogeny." Palaeobiology 20: 470-483.

Norell, M. A. and Novacek, M. J. (1992a) "Congruence between superpositional and phylogenetic patterns: Comparing cladistic patterns with fossil records." Cladistics 8: 319-337.

"The quality of the fossil record and the accuracy of reconstructed phylogenies have been debated recently, and doubt has been cast on how far current knowledge actually reflects what happened in the past. A survey of 384 published cladograms of a variety of animals (echinoderms, fishes, tetrapods) shows that there is good agreement between phylogenetic (character) data and stratigraphic (age) data, based on a variety of comparative metrics. This congruence of conclusions from two essentially independent sources of data confirms that the majority of cladograms are broadly accurate and that the fossil record, incomplete as it is, gives a reasonably faithful documentation of the sequence of occurrence of organisms through time."

These are a few of the studies that show that the fossil are in the right order. Can you find problems with them?
 

OldRegular

Well-Known Member
Originally posted by UTEOTW:
Also you are avoiding the question: Was the quote of Gould's, the very first one in your list, dishonestly taken out of context?
You are asking me to make a judgment on the intentions of those who compiled the list. I know that you are a mind reader in abstentia and have already made a judgment. However, I do not have that ability. :D :D
 

OldRegular

Well-Known Member
Originally posted by UTEOTW:
Let's stick with one subject. I choose whales. This will allow us to see how this predictive thing works.

If you look at living whales, let's discuss some of the observations you can make. First of all they are mammals. Mammals are generally land dwelling. Whales go through a developmental stage in which they have legs and feet which are reabsorbed before birth. This might indicate their ancestors once had legs. Sometimes whales are born with fully formed atavistic legs. Since this means that they have dormant genes for making legs which can accidentally be turned on, this is even stronger support for their being whales with legs in the past. Whales also have a set of dozens of genes for making a sense of smell. The thing is, most of these genes are identical to those that land animals use for their sense of smell. Furthermore, these genes have been deactivated.

All these things together allows one to predict that there is likely to have been land dwelling animals in the past that evolved into whales. This is a prediction and it is testable.

By exploring the fossil record we have been able to test the prediction and theory that whales have land dwelling ancestors. Some of the whale transitionals that have been found include Pakicetus, Ambulocetus, Dalanistes, Rodhocetus, Tackrecetus, Indocetus, Gaviocetus, Durodon, and Basilosaurus. Thus the prediction that we should find such ancestors has been tested and found to be true.

Now if you trace the whale fossils all the way back to their land dwelling ancestor you find a curious thing. There is a group of animals called even-toed ungulates (Ungulates are those animals with hooves and even-toed just means that this group has an even number of hooves per foot.) THis group is more properly called artiodactyls. They include animals like pigs, hippos, camels, llamas, giraffes, deer, goats, sheep, cattle, and antelopes. This group of animals also can trace their ancestry back to the same basic type of ancestor as the whales. Whales ARE artiodactyls!

Now, from this fossil finding, you can make the prediction that genetic testing should show that whales are more closely related to the artiodactyls than they are to any other animals. Again, testing confirms this prediction. (This also becomes one of my favorites. YEers often dismiss genetic similarities by saying that similar animals would be expected to have similar DNA in their paradigm also. No one is going to confuse Flipper with Bullwinkle but their DNA is very similar.)

These are but one small example of the types of predictions that biologists can make and test. Furthermore, there is no logical explanation for these things outside of common descent!
Since you do coal research I assume you know what constitutes a test.

The tale of the whales is just that, a tale. It in no way answers the question: Where are the tests, that is tests not evolutionist's imagination [or predictions], that demonstrate macro-evolution?
 

OldRegular

Well-Known Member
Originally posted by OldRegular:
By the way UTEOTW the reason that geologists are abandoning the uniformitarian doctrine and recognizing a catastrophic history of the earth is that the fossile records are not always in the correct order as you state.
Response posted by UTETOW:
Quoting from http://www.mala.bc.ca/~johnstoi/darwin/sect2.htm "Nevertheless, by mid-century, on the eve of the publication of The Origin of Species (1859) the modified catastrophist view generally was the more favoured of the two theories." The strictly gradual version of geology had been abandoned by the publication or Origin of the Species, so why do you think they are just now getting around to it?

"The quality of the fossil record and the accuracy of reconstructed phylogenies have been debated recently, and doubt has been cast on how far current knowledge actually reflects what happened in the past. A survey of 384 published cladograms of a variety of animals (echinoderms, fishes, tetrapods) shows that there is good agreement between phylogenetic (character) data and stratigraphic (age) data, based on a variety of comparative metrics. This congruence of conclusions from two essentially independent sources of data confirms that the majority of cladograms are broadly accurate and that the fossil record, incomplete as it is, gives a reasonably faithful documentation of the sequence of occurrence of organisms through time."

These are a few of the studies that show that the fossil are in the right order. Can you find problems with them?
Your two comments above seem to contradict each other. If the history of the earth is catastrophic why was the fossil record not disrupted. In fact observations show that fossil layers are often inverted.
 

UTEOTW

New Member
"The tale of the whales is just that, a tale. It in no way answers the question: Where are the tests, that is tests not evolutionist's imagination [or predictions], that demonstrate macro-evolution?"

Time for an experiment.

You have asked for some of the tests that show that large scale changes can and have happened. So Istepped through a simple version of one such case. Several lines of evidence leads one to suspect that a large scale change occurred. Then evidence appears which seems to show that very change. Then an independent line of evidence corroborates the finding.

Since an example of the actual tests does not seem to satify you, then why do you not tell me what it is you are looking for? What kind of tests do you think would be possible which would demonstrate that large scale changes have occurred?

"Your two comments above seem to contradict each other. If the history of the earth is catastrophic why was the fossil record not disrupted. In fact observations show that fossil layers are often inverted."

Define "often" and then demonstrate that layers are "often inverted." I have presented a sampling of five separate papers above which support my assertion that the fossils are in the correct order to a statistically significant degree. Where are your criticisms of the work if you fail to agree?

Now the first part. Where did I say it was not disrupted? I said it was in the right order.

Accepting catastrophe as part of the geologic record does not mean that all of the geologic record is due to catastrophe. There are many different processes that occur at many different rates. Even though the catastrophic viewpoint won out over extreme gradualism, gradualism is still a prominent player. Just not the only one. Sometimes catastrophe may wipeout part of the geologic record. Sometimes it may preserve a whole bunch of new fossils. Big catastrophes may even wipeout most life.

There are all sorts of disruptions in the fossil record. The most significant, however, is the great rarity of fossilization in the first place.
 
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