canadyjd said:"So far out in front..." Who is he out in front of? Hillary?
I really haven't seen polls in a couple of days, but the last I saw I didn't see anyone "so far out in front" of anyone else.
peace to youraying:
Because the democrats award very few states' delegates "winner take all," any lead is much harder to overcome, because the delegates are awarded proportionately.
Furthermore, several states left are thought to be near locks for Obama.
I believe it was NBC that said that Hillary needs to have double-digit wins in most of the remaining states to make up the deficit in delegates.
If the states were "winner take all" like the republicans, the lead would be nearly insignificant.
One thing, though: If Hillary can take the fight regarding the Michigan and Florida delegates (right now, per both candidates' agreements, they will not be seated at the convention) and get the delegates seated (she won both states handily), this becomes a different race.
But I doubt that happens. If Obama finishes with a lead in states won, overall popular vote, and pledged delegates.......and the party gives the nod to Hillary anyway (through "superdelegates" or "creative counting" of MI and FL delegates).......it would split the party wide open and give the presidency to John McCain.
This happened in Alabama years ago. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guy_Hunt
Read the "election as governor." Amazing parallel, and the upset here was unprecedented. I can't imagine the Democrats on the national level doing something this stupid, though. It would be political suicide.