Predictions/Opinions - 2018 Midterm Elections

[Calminian]

That's my fear too. Trump seems to think raising the age and ending bump stocks is a winning issue. I think school security and ending no-gun-zones is the winning issue. If he goes with that, he's going to win big.

And right on cue, Trump seems to be getting back on message.

Donald J. Trump‏Verified account @realDonaldTrump
Many ideas, some good & some not so good, emerged from our bipartisan meeting on school safety yesterday at the White House. Background Checks a big part of conversation. Gun free zones are proven targets of killers. After many years, a Bill should emerge. Respect 2nd Amendment!

3:53 AM - 1 Mar 2018​

 

[Reynolds]

That's my fear too. Trump seems to think raising the age and ending bump stocks is a winning issue. I think school security and ending no-gun-zones is the winning issue. If he goes with that, he's going to win big.

The only way I would favor raising the age to 21 to own a long gun would be if the age to vote were raised to 21.

 

[Calminian]

and perhaps the draft age.

 

[Rob_BW]

Ok, I spent a little time looking at the RCP scores. Things may be looking more favorable than I thought.

 

[Reynolds]

and perhaps the draft age.

Well, if a person needs to be 21 to be mature enough to use a firearm, then of course we should raise the minimum age for military service to 21.

 

[Rob_BW]

Well, if a person needs to be 21 to be mature enough to use a firearm, then of course we should raise the minimum age for military service to 21.

I don't see how one could be logically consistent otherwise.

 

[InTheLight]

Why not--you need to be 21 to own a gun unless you are in the military, then you can own when you are 18.

Sent from my Pixel 2 XL

 

[777]

Well, to do it on a federal level, wouldn't you need a new constitutional amendment? Needed one for voting, and that right isn't even directly enumerated in the constitution.

Disappoints me, and makes me think Trump is a gun-control NYC guy after all - I understand it would have kept the last killer from getting a gun but this is just a knee-jerk reaction. The Las Vegas shooter was 68, so set the minimum to 70 to be consistent.

 

[Reynolds]

Why not--you need to be 21 to own a gun unless you are in the military, then you can own when you are 18.

Sent from my Pixel 2 XL

No, we can't have immature soldiers.

 

[Reynolds]

Well, to do it on a federal level, wouldn't you need a new constitutional amendment? Needed one for voting, and that right isn't even directly enumerated in the constitution.

Disappoints me, and makes me think Trump is a gun-control NYC guy after all - I understand it would have kept the last killer from getting a gun but this is just a knee-jerk reaction. The Las Vegas shooter was 68, so set the minimum to 70 to be consistent.

Trump is just gaming the system. The only thing that will pass is bump stock ban and enhanced background checks. The NRA supports both.

 

[Adonia]

Many ideas, some good & some not so good, emerged from our bipartisan meeting on school safety yesterday at the White House. Background Checks a big part of conversation. Gun free zones are proven targets of killers. After many years, a Bill should emerge. Respect 2nd Amendment!

How about due process Mr. President, do we get to keep that too?

 

[Baptist Believer]

Just voted in the Texas primary over the lunch hour. I found it interesting that in a heavily red district, there were three times as many people voting in the Democratic primary than the Republican.

Now that's just a snapshot at one precinct on primary day for about 15 minutes during the lunch hour, but volunteers on the Republican side of the room seemed to have time on their hands, while the Democrats had a steady crowd.

However, that brief and statistically irrelevant observation seemed to correlate to trends throughout early voting that saw many more Democrats at the primaries than in recent years - outnumbering Republicans in some places. Since the Reagan revolution, the Republican primaries have essentially been the real election for state and local candidates, since Democrats have consistently failed to win at the general election, so I think we may be seeing a fatigue or apathy for Republican candidates - incumbent or not.

If nothing else, it seems like Texas Democrats are energized and may actually win some seats during the midterms.

 

[777]

Really? Well, we'll see later on tonight - I'd heard the early voting participation had a big D lead but there are yuge GOP names up that people may not bother to vote for in the primaries. I doubt they will ever be able to take out Abbott, Cruz, Paxton, Patrick although this "Pattterson" could take out George P Bush easily according to the often-wrong polls.

Latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll

 

[church mouse guy]

I rhink Donnelly in Indiana will be defeated. He earns money from a family business in Mexico.

In general, I think this election will change little in Congress.

 

[Rob_BW]

Why not--you need to be 21 to own a gun unless you are in the military, then you can own when you are 18.

Sent from my Pixel 2 XL

That's not how the military works.

If you're single and 18, you are immature and must keep all personally owned firearms in the unit arms room. If you're 18 and married than you can get paid to live off post and have as many guns laying around as you want.

See the logical consistency of that?

 

[777]

Well, The Whole Notion Of Texas Turning Blue Got Shot To Hell Last Night

still think the Ds have an enthusiasm edge but now wondering about this one:

New Poll Shows Conor Lamb Leading Saccone In Race For 18th Congressional District

guess we'll see if those steel tariffs are all that soon.

I rhink Donnelly in Indiana will be defeated. He earns money from a family business in Mexico.

In general, I think this election will change little in Congress.

Yeah, but be careful of that Donnelly blue dog - he can manage to win races you would think impossible for any Democrat to win. I don't think his opponent helped him nearly as much in 2012 as Todd Akin helped Claire that year, Donnelly is one tough cookie to beat.

 

[Calminian]

Meanwhile,

PA Senate Race: Rep. Lou Barletta Collects 1,500 More Signatures Than Bob Casey

I think for sure we're going to pickup Senate seats. It would be unusual, but this is an unusual presidency.

 

[Calminian]

Red Wave? Midterm Poll Shows Five Senate Democrats In Serious Trouble

Polls done in 10 states show very bad news for at least five Senate Democrats up for re-election in 2018, according to Axios.

 

[Calminian]

This is getting interesting. Looks like Trump will be campaigning and drawing big crowds for Republicans in coming elections. I have a feeling he's going to be very busy as November approaches.

Donald J. Trump‏Verified account @realDonaldTrump
Look forward to being in Pennsylvania tomorrow in support of Rick @Saccone4PA18. Big crowd expected in Moon Township. Vote Rick and see you there! #MAGA

12:35 PM - 9 Mar 2018​

 

[Earth Wind and Fire]

and perhaps the draft age.

There is no draft currently